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Gaithersburg, MD 20878 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20878
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
103
Active Listings
36
Sold Properties
67

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$860,000
Median Sold Price
$764,000
Median Price per Sqft
$382/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,750

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.98%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
218
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the median sold price $764,000, which reflects realized transaction activity and anchors valuation expectations in the ZIP code; recent price movement is down year-over-year, suggesting softening relative to the prior year.

  2. There is a noticeable gap between the median listing price $860,000 and the median sold price $764,000, which may indicate pricing friction where seller expectations exceed recent sale outcomes; this gap appears to require adjustment for faster alignment between offers and closed transactions.

  3. Liquidity appears muted with a long median days on market of 218, consistent with slower sales velocity despite the marketTemperature being neutral; sellers and agents should plan for extended marketing timelines and consider targeted pricing or condition-driven concessions to improve velocity. neutral market temperature

  4. Rental demand shows strength with a median market rent of $2,750 and rent year-over-year trend up, while interestRatePressure is reported as moderate, which together suggest rents are rising even as financing conditions remain a cautious headwind for buyers.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

14011 Smoky Bell Ln, North Potomac, MD 20878
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
4,361 sqft
$1,800,000
Feb 1, 2026
$413/sqft/sqft
112 days on market
14009 Kip Ter, North Potomac, MD 20878
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds
4 baths
5,772 sqft
$1,674,000
Mar 1, 2026
$290/sqft/sqft
339 days on market
730 Turtle Pond Ln, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
3,536 sqft
$1,565,000
Feb 1, 2026
$443/sqft/sqft
130 days on market
16504 Sioux Ln, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
2 baths
3,240 sqft
$745,000
Feb 1, 2026
$230/sqft/sqft
98 days on market
245 Kepler Dr, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
3 baths
1,552 sqft
$735,000
Mar 1, 2026
$474/sqft/sqft
117 days on market
15428 Peach Leaf Dr, North Potomac, MD 20878
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
4 baths
1,822 sqft
$725,000
Feb 1, 2026
$398/sqft/sqft
47 Dufief Ct, North Potomac, MD 20878
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,590 sqft
$400,000
Feb 1, 2026
$252/sqft/sqft
115 days on market
29 Orchard Dr, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,290 sqft
$350,000
Mar 1, 2026
$271/sqft/sqft

Gaithersburg, MD 20878 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20878
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
75
Active Listings
8
Sold Properties
67

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$361,950
Median Sold Price
$399,000
Median Price per Sqft
$302/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,449

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.00%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
302
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The most reliable market signal is the median sold price of 399,000, which anchors recent transaction values and corresponds with a year-over-year price direction that is down and therefore suggests recent softness in comparable sale prices.

  2. Liquidity appears muted: the median days on market is 302, which points to slower sales velocity and, combined with a neutral market temperature, suggests a balanced market with extended listing durations rather than rapid turnover.

  3. There is a notable relationship between the median listing price of 361,950 and the median sold price of 399,000, which may indicate pricing friction or that final sale outcomes are diverging from asking expectations; this gap appears meaningful for pricing strategy and negotiation planning.

  4. Rental demand shows strength relative to sales: the median market rent is 2,449 and rent year-over-year trend is up, while interest rate pressure is assessed as moderate, implying financing costs could constrain some buyer segments even as rental fundamentals firm.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

819 Rockwell Ave, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

- beds
- baths
2,548 sqft
$726,500
Apr 1, 2026
$285/sqft/sqft
9540 Fields Rd, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
- baths
1,700 sqft
$610,000
Mar 1, 2026
$359/sqft/sqft
637 Diamondback Dr # 17a, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,694 sqft
$570,000
Feb 1, 2026
$336/sqft/sqft
133 days on market
300 High Gables Dr Apt 407, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

1 beds
1 baths
1,059 sqft
$338,000
Mar 1, 2026
$319/sqft/sqft
840 days on market
7 Granite Pl Unit 215, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
- baths
868 sqft
$311,000
Mar 1, 2026
$358/sqft/sqft
169 days on market
913 Hillside Lake Ter Apt 413, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
1 baths
935 sqft
$310,000
Apr 1, 2026
$332/sqft/sqft
67 days on market
828 Quince Orchard Blvd # P2, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
1 baths
881 sqft
$150,000
Mar 1, 2026
$170/sqft/sqft
768 Quince Orchard Blvd Apt 101, Gaithersburg, MD 20878
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
1 baths
1,110 sqft
$135,000
Mar 1, 2026
$122/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,962/mo
20878 Avg Rent
20878 Cost to Own
Rent$2,750
Own$4,712

20% down, 6.5% rate, 1.0% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

20878 Avg nightly rate
20878 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$116/night
Occupancy118 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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