Tucson, AZ 85730 Real Estate Market Report
ZIP Code: 85730
Report Date: February 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only
Executive Overview
As of February 2026, the real estate market in Tucson, AZ (ZIP: 85730) is characterized by a median sold price of $309,950, reflecting a nuanced market environment. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, indicating a notable softening in property values compared to previous years. This decline in sold prices suggests that buyers are facing challenges in finding value amidst elevated inventory levels and moderate sales activity, which may lead to pricing friction as sellers adjust expectations to align with current market realities.
The market is currently experiencing elevated inventory relative to sales activity, with a median days on market of 188 days. This extended timeframe indicates slower sales velocity, which, combined with a neutral market temperature, suggests a balanced yet cautious approach from both buyers and sellers. The slight improvement in mortgage rates, currently around 5.875%, compared to last year’s 6.575%, may provide some relief to buyers, but the overall market remains sensitive to broader economic conditions and interest rate pressures.
Market Overview
This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.
Market Metrics
Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.
Rental Market
Property Taxes
Liquidity & Velocity
Market Trends & Context
Understanding Market Temperature
A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.
Current Mortgage Rate Context
Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tucson, AZ, around 5.875% are notably lower than the 6.575% average seen one year ago, presenting a favorable market comparison for refinancing.
Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.
Key Findings
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The median sold price of $309,950 reflects a significant decrease of 8% since 2022, indicating a softening market.
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With a median days on market of 188, properties are experiencing slower sales velocity, suggesting a need for strategic pricing adjustments by sellers.
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The median listing price stands at $300,000, creating a pricing gap that may indicate pricing friction as buyers seek value.
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The market temperature is currently neutral, suggesting a balanced environment where both buyers and sellers may need to navigate carefully.
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Current mortgage rates at 5.875% are notably lower than last year's rates, presenting a positive opportunity for refinancing and potentially stimulating buyer interest.
Notable Properties
The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.
Recent Transactions
Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.
Sold above market average
Sold above market average
Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.
Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.
Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.
Sold below market average
Sold below market average
Data Sources
Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.
Report generated: 2/25/2026
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