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Tucson, AZ 85716 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85716
Report Date: February 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

The Tucson housing market in the 85716 ZIP code reflects a median sold price of $422,500, indicating a stable market despite broader trends of softness. This price point suggests that while there is slight annual appreciation, the market is experiencing a cooling phase characterized by slower sales velocity. The elevated median days on market, currently at 212 days, further emphasizes the slower transaction pace, which may indicate a shift towards a more balanced market environment where buyers have more options and sellers need to adjust expectations accordingly.

With a median listing price of $439,000, there is a notable gap between asking prices and sold prices, suggesting potential pricing friction as sellers navigate current market conditions. The overall inventory appears elevated relative to sales activity, indicating excess supply that may contribute to ongoing adjustments in pricing strategies. As rental prices show signs of cooling with a median market rent of $1,670, this could ease pressure on renters and further influence buyer sentiment in the housing market.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
Last 90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
215
Active Listings
55
Sold Properties
160

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$439,000
Median Sold Price
$422,500
Median Price per Sqft
$269/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,670
Rent Range
$893 - $1,955

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.79%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
212
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tucson, AZ, around 6.09% are 0.78% lower than the 6.87% average from one year ago, presenting a cost opportunity for refinancing.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $422,500 indicates a stable market amidst broader softness.

  2. With 212 days on market, the sales velocity is notably slower, suggesting a shift towards a more balanced market.

  3. The median listing price of $439,000 reflects a significant gap compared to the sold price, indicating potential pricing friction.

  4. Elevated inventory levels suggest excess supply relative to sales activity, impacting seller strategies.

  5. Rental prices are cooling, with a median market rent of $1,670, which may ease pressure for renters and influence buyer sentiment.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

Last 90 Days
3601 E 4th St, Tucson, AZ 85716
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

- beds
- baths
1,587 sqft
$6,400,000
Dec 1, 2025
$4,033/sqft/sqft
150 days on market
4100 N Cactus Blvd, Tucson, AZ 85716
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
4 baths
992 sqft
$1,950,000
Dec 1, 2025
$1,966/sqft/sqft
277 days on market
435 S Country Club Rd, Tucson, AZ 85716
Premium

Sold above market average

6 beds
2 baths
2,734 sqft
$1,495,000
Dec 1, 2025
$547/sqft/sqft
154 days on market
2625 E Prince Rd, Tucson, AZ 85716
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
1 baths
1,859 sqft
$425,000
Feb 1, 2026
$229/sqft/sqft
318 days on market
3263 N Stewart Ave, Tucson, AZ 85716
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
3 baths
2,725 sqft
$425,000
Dec 1, 2025
$156/sqft/sqft
2316 days on market
2821 E Greenlee St, Tucson, AZ 85716
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,972 sqft
$425,000
Dec 1, 2025
$216/sqft/sqft
244 days on market
943 N Chrysler Dr, Tucson, AZ 85716
Quick Flip

Below-market acquisition. Investor purchase with value-add potential through renovation.

2 beds
1 baths
832 sqft
$159,000
Jan 1, 2026
$191/sqft/sqft
22 days on market
3408 E Water St, Tucson, AZ 85716
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
432 sqft
$89,500
Dec 1, 2025
$207/sqft/sqft
300 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 2/19/2026

GemHaus

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