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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$505K

The median listing price in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85215 is $504,950 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$2,155/mo

The median market rent in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85215 is $2,155/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
280 days

The median days on market in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85215 is 280 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
5.12%

At a median list price of $504,950 and a median rent of $2,155/month, the gross rental yield in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85215 is 5.12% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,559/mo STR · $2,155/mo LTR

In Mesa, AZ ZIP 85215, median Airbnb revenue is $2,559/month compared to median long-term rent of $2,155/month as of June 2026.

Mesa, AZ 85215 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85215

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
196
Active Listings
69
Sold Properties
127

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$504,950
Median Sold Price
$463,000
Median Price per Sqft
$266/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,155

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.43%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
280
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates for properties in Mesa, AZ, average 6.53%, reflecting a stable but elevated interest rate environment compared to earlier 2026 benchmarks.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price of 463,000, which represents the most reliable signal of recent transaction activity and should be the baseline for pricing conversations in this ZIP code. flat
  2. There is a meaningful gap between the median listing price of 504,950 and the median sold price of 463,000, which may indicate pricing friction and increased negotiation leverage for buyers when listings are not aligned with recent comparable sales. moderate
  3. Market liquidity appears slow: the median days on market is 280, suggesting extended marketing times and slower sales velocity that agents and sellers should factor into time-to-close expectations.
  4. Value metrics show a median price per square foot of 266 alongside a median market rent of 2,155; with the rent year-over-year trend listed as down, investors should exercise caution on near-term rental income growth projections, and lenders/buyers should consider the reported elevated interest rate pressure (30-year averages ~6.53%) when stress-testing affordability. elevated

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3937 E Norcroft Cir, Mesa, AZ 85215
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds7 baths6,458 sqft
$2,300,000
Mar 1, 2026
$356/sqft/sqft
463 days on market
3949 E Norcroft Cir, Mesa, AZ 85215
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds5.67 baths6,926 sqft
$2,200,000
Apr 1, 2026
$318/sqft/sqft
2034 days on market
3924 E Norcroft Cir, Mesa, AZ 85215
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds5 baths4,363 sqft
$2,000,000
Apr 1, 2026
$458/sqft/sqft
3336 days on market
6360 E Riverdale St, Mesa, AZ 85215
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds4 baths2,353 sqft
$528,900
Apr 1, 2026
$225/sqft/sqft
237 days on market
5802 E Montara Pl, Mesa, AZ 85215
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds2.33 baths1,830 sqft
$525,000
Apr 1, 2026
$287/sqft/sqft
2174 days on market
2656 N Ricardo, Mesa, AZ 85215
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds3 baths1,822 sqft
$525,000
Apr 1, 2026
$288/sqft/sqft
2957 days on market
2217 N Recker Rd, Mesa, AZ 85215
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds2 baths1,152 sqft
$280,000
Mar 1, 2026
$243/sqft/sqft
3793 days on market
6126 E Roland St, Mesa, AZ 85215
Value

Sold below market average

- beds2.33 baths1,502 sqft
$200,000
Mar 1, 2026
$133/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$495/mo
85215 Avg Rent
85215 Cost to Own
Rent$2,155
Own$2,650

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85215 Avg nightly rate
85215 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$199/night
Occupancy121 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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