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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$650K

The median listing price in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85016 is $649,500 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,620/mo

The median market rent in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85016 is $1,620/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
351 days

The median days on market in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85016 is 351 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
2.99%

At a median list price of $649,500 and a median rent of $1,620/month, the gross rental yield in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85016 is 2.99% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,801/mo STR · $1,620/mo LTR

In Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85016, median Airbnb revenue is $2,801/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,620/month as of June 2026.

Phoenix, AZ 85016 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85016

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
272
Active Listings
144
Sold Properties
128

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$649,500
Median Sold Price
$457,500
Median Price per Sqft
$355/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,620

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.49%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
351
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Phoenix, AZ, are averaging approximately 6.63% as of June 2026, reflecting the prevailing market environment for property owners in this area.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of recent market value is the median sold price of 457,500, which represents the representative recent sale level for SFR and condominium properties in ZIP 85016 and suggests realized transaction pricing amid current market conditions.
  2. There is a meaningful gap between the median listing price of 649,500 and the median sold price of 457,500, which may indicate pricing friction and seller expectations that exceed recent transaction levels.
  3. Market velocity is slower as reflected by the median days on market of 351, which suggests prolonged marketing times and moderate transaction volume despite the market temperature being reported as neutral.
  4. Macro and cost-of-capital signals are headwinds: interest rate pressure is elevated and local 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging approximately 6.63%, while rent trends are soft with rent year-over-year trend reported as down, indicating softening rental momentum that may weigh on investor demand.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

5245 N 21st St, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

6 beds5.67 baths5,132 sqft
$6,765,000
Apr 1, 2026
$1,318/sqft/sqft
291 days on market
2311 E Colter St, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Premium

Sold above market average

6 beds6.67 baths6,850 sqft
$5,300,000
Mar 1, 2026
$774/sqft/sqft
415 days on market
5802 N 30th St, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds5.67 baths3,462 sqft
$4,575,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,321/sqft/sqft
139 days on market
3015 E Weldon Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds2.67 baths1,873 sqft
$675,000
May 1, 2026
$360/sqft/sqft
89 days on market
3324 N 25th St, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds2.67 baths1,872 sqft
$675,000
Apr 1, 2026
$361/sqft/sqft
3758 days on market
2452 E Elm St, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2 baths1,222 sqft
$667,000
Mar 1, 2026
$546/sqft/sqft
200 days on market
2930 N 22nd Pl, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2.33 baths1,502 sqft
$295,000
Apr 1, 2026
$196/sqft/sqft
3803 days on market
2316 E Curnow Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85016
Value

Sold below market average

- beds2 baths928 sqft
$270,000
Apr 1, 2026
$291/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,021/mo
85016 Avg Rent
85016 Cost to Own
Rent$1,620
Own$2,641

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.5% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85016 Avg nightly rate
85016 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$159/night
Occupancy168 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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