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Phoenix, AZ 85051 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85051
Report Date: February 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of February 2026, the real estate market in Phoenix, AZ (ZIP: 85051) is characterized by a median sold price of $353,000, reflecting a challenging environment for sellers as prices have decreased. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics. The median listing price stands at $362,950, suggesting a notable gap between seller expectations and actual transaction values, which may contribute to slower sales activity in the area.

Transaction velocity appears to be impacted by elevated inventory levels, with median days on market reaching 189 days. This extended period indicates a slower sales velocity, as buyers remain cautious amidst elevated interest rate pressure and affordability concerns. The market temperature is currently assessed as neutral, suggesting balanced conditions despite the ongoing price declines. Overall, the market is experiencing excess supply relative to sales activity, which may further influence pricing strategies moving forward.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
Last 90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
182
Active Listings
78
Sold Properties
104

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$362,950
Median Sold Price
$353,000
Median Price per Sqft
$231/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,386
Rent Range
$1,467 - $2,716

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.44%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
189
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Phoenix AZ 85051 area average around 5.88% compared to the 2026 forecast average of 6.30%, suggesting property owners locked in a favorable rate.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price is $353,000, indicating a significant decrease in market value.

  2. With a median listing price of $362,950, there is a pricing gap that may lead to pricing friction for sellers.

  3. The median days on market of 189 days suggests a slower sales velocity in the current market.

  4. The market temperature is assessed as neutral, indicating balanced conditions despite ongoing price declines.

  5. Elevated interest rate pressure is contributing to a cautious buyer sentiment, impacting overall market liquidity.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

Last 90 Days
4202 W Purdue Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2.67 baths
2,065 sqft
$565,000
Jan 1, 2026
$274/sqft/sqft
267 days on market
4115 W Ironwood Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,976 sqft
$480,000
Jan 1, 2026
$243/sqft/sqft
203 days on market
10032 N 42nd Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,546 sqft
$474,900
Jan 1, 2026
$307/sqft/sqft
204 days on market
8102 N 42nd Ln, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
2 baths
1,107 sqft
$349,000
Feb 1, 2026
$315/sqft/sqft
8014 N 42nd Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
2 baths
1,246 sqft
$348,000
Dec 1, 2025
$279/sqft/sqft
3539 W El Caminito Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,240 sqft
$344,000
Jan 1, 2026
$277/sqft/sqft
328 days on market
8004 N 32nd Dr Unit 3, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
611 sqft
$125,000
Dec 1, 2025
$205/sqft/sqft
72 days on market
3731 W Vista Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85051
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,296 sqft
$99,000
Jan 1, 2026
$76/sqft/sqft

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 2/19/2026

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