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Brambleton, VA 20148 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20148
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
119
Active Listings
45
Sold Properties
74

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$892,450
Median Sold Price
$958,000
Median Price per Sqft
$330/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,400

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.77%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
208
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's primary market indicator is the median sold price: $958,000, which represents the best single snapshot of recent transaction activity and sets market value expectations.

  2. Pricing context shows a persistent listing/sales gap with the median listing price at $892,450 versus the median sold price at $958,000, which may indicate seller price ambition relative to finalized transactions and suggests pricing friction at the top of the market.

  3. Liquidity appears slower: the median days on market is 208, consistent with a market that is taking longer to convert listings into closed sales and suggesting reduced sales velocity even though supply in the analyzed sample is described as relatively constrained.

  4. Rent and broader market pressures point to rising income-side demand: median market rent is $3,400 and rent year-over-year trend is up, while interest rate pressure is moderate and market temperature is neutral, implying a balanced market where price appreciation (price year-over-year trend: up) coexists with longer listing times.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

41774 Ashmeadow Ct, Ashburn, VA 20148
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
4 baths
4,640 sqft
$2,650,000
Mar 1, 2026
$571/sqft/sqft
106 days on market
41653 Appleyard Pl, Ashburn, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
5 baths
4,364 sqft
$2,100,000
Apr 1, 2026
$481/sqft/sqft
41865 Paddock Gate Pl, Ashburn, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
4 baths
4,192 sqft
$1,900,000
Feb 1, 2026
$453/sqft/sqft
115 days on market
23486 Epperson Sq, Brambleton, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
3 baths
4,023 sqft
$925,000
Mar 1, 2026
$230/sqft/sqft
80 days on market
21492 Chickacoan Trail Dr, Broadlands, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
3 baths
2,553 sqft
$915,000
Mar 1, 2026
$358/sqft/sqft
106 days on market
23052 Sunbury St, Ashburn, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
4 baths
3,395 sqft
$910,000
Mar 1, 2026
$268/sqft/sqft
177 days on market
20934 Houseman Ter, Ashburn, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,020 sqft
$630,000
Apr 1, 2026
$312/sqft/sqft
281 days on market
22276 Blackmar Ter, Ashburn, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,349 sqft
$532,500
Mar 1, 2026
$395/sqft/sqft
112 days on market

Brambleton, VA 20148 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20148
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
91
Active Listings
17
Sold Properties
74

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$550,000
Median Sold Price
$570,000
Median Price per Sqft
$290/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,150

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.77%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
247
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator, median sold price, is $570,000, which represents the most reliable marker of realized market value and recent transaction activity for Brambleton.

  2. There is a pricing gap where the median listing price is $550,000 versus the median sold price of $570,000, which may indicate seller pricing that requires adjustment to align with completed transactions.

  3. Liquidity appears slower: the median days on market is 247, suggesting extended marketing times and slower sales velocity compared with faster turnover markets, even as supply in the analyzed sample points to relatively constrained active supply.

  4. Market momentum shows mixed signals: year-over-year prices are up and rents are up, while market temperature is neutral and interest rate pressure is moderate, implying a balanced market that is edging toward equilibrium rather than a pronounced seller or buyer advantage.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

43442 Croson Ln Unit 100, Ashburn, VA 20148
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2 baths
2,855 sqft
$970,000
Mar 1, 2026
$340/sqft/sqft
216 days on market
23669 Golden Embers Sq Unit 303, Ashburn, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,148 sqft
$724,900
Mar 1, 2026
$337/sqft/sqft
115 days on market
43558 Jefferson Park St, Ashburn, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,662 sqft
$719,950
Apr 1, 2026
$270/sqft/sqft
429 days on market
22768 Ferncrest Ter, Brambleton, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,394 sqft
$565,000
Mar 1, 2026
$236/sqft/sqft
110 days on market
22697 Verde Gate Ter, Brambleton, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,558 sqft
$560,000
Mar 1, 2026
$219/sqft/sqft
91 days on market
22720 Ferncrest Ter, Brambleton, VA 20148
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,558 sqft
$560,000
Mar 1, 2026
$219/sqft/sqft
111 days on market
22725 Thimbleberry Sq Unit 304, Brambleton, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
1 baths
803 sqft
$319,990
Mar 1, 2026
$398/sqft/sqft
84 days on market
42399 Goldenseal Sq, Brambleton, VA 20148
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
1 baths
737 sqft
$309,903
Mar 1, 2026
$420/sqft/sqft
80 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$2,335/mo
20148 Avg Rent
20148 Cost to Own
Rent$3,400
Own$5,735

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.8% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

20148 Avg nightly rate
20148 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$123/night
Occupancy116 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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