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San Antonio, TX 78261 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 78261
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of March 2026, the real estate market in San Antonio, TX (ZIP: 78261) reflects a median sold price of $444,765, indicating a stable market environment. The neighborhood has increased 0% since 2023, suggesting a plateau in price appreciation. This stability is accompanied by median days on market at 201, which points to a slower sales velocity, potentially due to elevated inventory levels and buyer hesitance in the face of current economic conditions.

The market is characterized by elevated inventory levels, which may provide buyers with greater negotiation power. With median listing prices at $549,450, there exists a notable gap between asking and sold prices, indicating potential pricing friction. Additionally, the median market rent stands at $2,770, while rental rates are trending down, further complicating the landscape for both buyers and sellers. Elevated interest rates continue to exert pressure on affordability, contributing to a neutral market temperature overall.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
142
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
42

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$549,450
Median Sold Price
$444,765
Median Price per Sqft
$183/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,770

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.65%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
201
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the San Antonio TX 78261 market average around 6.00% to 6.23% compared to an average of 6.63% a year ago, suggesting property owners locked in a favorable rate then.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $444,765 indicates a stable market, with no change since 2023.

  2. Median days on market are at 201, reflecting a slower sales velocity and potential buyer hesitance.

  3. Elevated inventory levels suggest buyers may have increased negotiation power in the current market.

  4. The median listing price of $549,450 shows a significant gap compared to sold prices, indicating potential pricing friction.

  5. Median market rent is at $2,770, with rental rates trending down, complicating the market dynamics.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3006 Single Peak, San Antonio, TX 78261
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
5,035 sqft
$1,300,000
Feb 1, 2026
$258/sqft/sqft
3454 Mountain Loop, San Antonio, TX 78261
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
4 baths
4,811 sqft
$1,093,000
Jan 1, 2026
$227/sqft/sqft
3823 Luz Del Faro, San Antonio, TX 78261
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
4 baths
4,237 sqft
$1,075,000
Dec 1, 2025
$254/sqft/sqft
243 days on market
25726 Willard Path, San Antonio, TX 78261
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
3 baths
3,564 sqft
$490,000
Jan 1, 2026
$137/sqft/sqft
280 days on market
24038 Waterhole Ln, San Antonio, TX 78261
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
3,332 sqft
$481,500
Jan 1, 2026
$145/sqft/sqft
270 days on market
5323 Espinoso Way, San Antonio, TX 78261
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
3,668 sqft
$474,999
Dec 1, 2025
$129/sqft/sqft
146 days on market
3502 Ironwood Fls, San Antonio, TX 78261
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,744 sqft
$284,000
Dec 1, 2025
$163/sqft/sqft
24267 Invitation Oak, San Antonio, TX 78261
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,602 sqft
$260,000
Jan 1, 2026
$100/sqft/sqft
82 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/10/2026

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