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Potomac, MD 20854 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20854
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
120
Active Listings
37
Sold Properties
83

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$1,872,000
Median Sold Price
$1,275,000
Median Price per Sqft
$436/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$4,600

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.96%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
198
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 20854 area are averaging 6.3%, consistent with the broader market trends observed throughout early 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. median sold price: $1,275,000 is the primary indicator of recent market value in 20854 and points to realized transaction levels that are meaningfully below the asking backdrop, suggesting sellers may be testing higher price expectations; pricing friction between listings and closed sales may be present given the divergence from the median listing price.

  2. median listing price: $1,872,000 versus the median sold price indicates a material spread between asks and completed transactions, which appears to be keeping sales focused around the representative recent sale level rather than at list; expect negotiation pressure on higher-priced listings.

  3. median days on market: 198 implies slower sales velocity and longer time-to-contract for typical SFR and condo offerings in Potomac, which, combined with the observed price spread, suggests extended marketing periods are likely affecting seller liquidity.

  4. Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaging 6.3% reflect elevated financing costs in the area and are an important headwind for affordability; elevated interest rate pressure may continue to constrain price acceleration despite rents and prices trending up.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

11900 River Rd, Potomac, MD 20854
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
6 baths
16,025 sqft
$11,840,000
Feb 1, 2026
$739/sqft/sqft
478 days on market
10408 Bit And Spur Ln, Rockville, MD 20854
Value

Sold below market average

6 beds
6 baths
7,696 sqft
$2,900,000
Mar 1, 2026
$377/sqft/sqft
94 days on market
19 Piney Glen Ct, Potomac, MD 20854
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
7 baths
9,248 sqft
$2,513,000
Mar 1, 2026
$272/sqft/sqft
11601 Bedfordshire Ave, Potomac, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
2,576 sqft
$1,280,000
Apr 1, 2026
$497/sqft/sqft
84 days on market
12508 Over Ridge Rd, Rockville, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
3 baths
2,575 sqft
$1,275,000
Feb 1, 2026
$495/sqft/sqft
121 days on market
8217 Buckspark Ln W, Potomac, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
4 baths
2,687 sqft
$1,270,000
Feb 1, 2026
$473/sqft/sqft
141 days on market
12236 Greenleaf Ave, Rockville, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,533 sqft
$612,000
Feb 1, 2026
$399/sqft/sqft
101 days on market
7607 Heatherton Ln, Rockville, MD 20854
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,540 sqft
$600,000
Mar 1, 2026
$390/sqft/sqft
69 days on market

Potomac, MD 20854 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20854
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
84
Active Listings
1
Sold Properties
83

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$901,500
Median Sold Price
$899,950
Median Price per Sqft
$653/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,700

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.93%

Liquidity & Velocity

Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 20854 area are averaging 6.3%, consistent with the broader market trends observed throughout early 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's median sold price is 899,950, which serves as the primary indicator of current market value and recent transaction activity; the price year-over-year trend is up, suggesting modest appreciation in realized sale prices.

  2. The median price per square foot is 653 and the median market rent is 2,700; with rent year-over-year trend up, rental rates are strengthening and help support investor and landlord cash-flow expectations relative to sales pricing.

  3. Market temperature is neutral (neutral) while the analyzed sample shows relatively constrained active supply, which suggests balanced liquidity with some pricing friction and moderate transaction velocity rather than a clear one-sided market advantage.

  4. Interest rate pressure is elevated (elevated) and property rate comparison data note that current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the area are averaging 6.3%, a headwind that may prolong decision timelines and reduce purchasing power for rate-sensitive buyers.


Notable Properties

The following 7 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

12500 Park Potomac Ave Unit 801, Potomac, MD 20854
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

- beds
- baths
1,734 sqft
$1,400,000
Dec 1, 2025
$807/sqft/sqft
12500 Park Potomac Ave Unit 607, Rockville, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
- baths
2,010 sqft
$1,365,000
Nov 1, 2025
$679/sqft/sqft
12500 Park Potomac Ave Unit 607, Rockville, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
- baths
2,010 sqft
$1,365,000
Nov 1, 2025
$679/sqft/sqft
12500 Park Potomac Ave Unit 905, Potomac, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
- baths
998 sqft
$630,000
Dec 1, 2025
$631/sqft/sqft
12500 Park Potomac Ave Unit 905, Potomac, MD 20854
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
- baths
998 sqft
$630,000
Dec 1, 2025
$631/sqft/sqft
7849 Coddle Harbor Ln # 17, Rockville, MD 20854
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
744 sqft
$430,000
Feb 1, 2026
$578/sqft/sqft
7849 Coddle Harbor Ln # 17, Rockville, MD 20854
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
744 sqft
$430,000
Feb 1, 2026
$578/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$3,101/mo
20854 Avg Rent
20854 Cost to Own
Rent$4,600
Own$7,701

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.0% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

20854 Avg nightly rate
20854 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$96/night
Occupancy114 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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