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Tampa, FL 33629 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33629
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
183
Active Listings
123
Sold Properties
60

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$1,315,950
Median Sold Price
$950,000
Median Price per Sqft
$460/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,850

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.83%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
274
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 33629 area average 6.35%, which is 0.17% higher than the 6.18% average observed during the first two months of 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's primary market value is reflected by the median sold price of 950,000, which provides the most reliable indicator of recent transaction pricing and suggests realized values sit materially below asking levels in this cycle (representative recent sale).

  2. There is a notable spread between the median listing price of 1,315,950 and the median sold price of 950,000, which may indicate pricing friction as sellers test higher asking levels while actual transactions clear at lower prices (down).

  3. Liquidity appears slow given a median days on market of 274, which signals extended marketing time and slower sales velocity and, combined with elevated inventory relative to sales activity, may give buyers more negotiating leverage (neutral).

  4. Rental and financing pressures add caution: the median market rent is 2,850 with rent year-over-year trend down, while interest rate pressure is elevated and local 30-year fixed rates average 6.35%, which is 0.17% higher than the 6.18% average observed earlier in 2026—factors that may further constrain buyer affordability and slow demand.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

5110 W Longfellow Ave, Tampa, FL 33629
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

6 beds
6.5 baths
6,576 sqft
$7,300,000
Feb 1, 2026
$1,110/sqft/sqft
335 days on market
4614 W Sunset Blvd, Tampa, FL 33629
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,350 sqft
$3,850,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,638/sqft/sqft
7585 days on market
4712 W Clear Ave, Tampa, FL 33629
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,563 sqft
$2,578,600
Mar 1, 2026
$1,006/sqft/sqft
550 days on market
3107 S Emerson St, Tampa, FL 33629
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1 baths
2,218 sqft
$915,000
Mar 1, 2026
$413/sqft/sqft
323 days on market
4611 W Lowell Ave, Tampa, FL 33629
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1.5 baths
1,977 sqft
$900,000
Mar 1, 2026
$455/sqft/sqft
512 days on market
2302 S Occident St, Tampa, FL 33629
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2.5 baths
1,760 sqft
$899,000
Mar 1, 2026
$511/sqft/sqft
486 days on market
4420 W Kensington Ave, Tampa, FL 33629
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

1 beds
1 baths
1,162 sqft
$525,000
Mar 1, 2026
$452/sqft/sqft
3616 S Omar Ave, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

4 beds
3 baths
1,824 sqft
$500,000
Mar 1, 2026
$274/sqft/sqft
86 days on market

Tampa, FL 33629 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33629
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
83
Active Listings
23
Sold Properties
60

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$785,000
Median Sold Price
$695,000
Median Price per Sqft
$419/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,150

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.42%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
315
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 33629 area average 6.35%, which is 0.17% higher than the 6.18% average observed during the first two months of 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price of 695,000, which establishes recent transaction-level value and suggests that recent closings are settling below ask levels given the median listing price of 785,000; this gap may indicate pricing friction and suggests sellers should consider competitive pricing to accelerate offers. down

  2. Liquidity appears muted: the median days on market is 315, which points to slower sales velocity and suggests that sellers may need longer marketing windows or stronger concessions to close; buyers can use extended time-on-market to negotiate. moderate

  3. Price discovery is cooling: the price year-over-year trend is listed as down while the market temperature is neutral, indicating a transition from rapid appreciation to a more balanced market where carefully priced listings capture interest and overpriced listings face longer exposure. neutral

  4. Financial and rent context is headwind-heavy: median market rent is 2,150 and rent year-over-year trend is down, while interest rate pressure is described as elevated and local 30-year fixed mortgage rates average 6.35%, which is 0.17% higher than the earlier 6.18% baseline; investors and owner-occupiers should factor higher borrowing costs into offer strategy and hold-period assumptions. elevated interest rate pressure


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2912 W Santiago St Unit 801, Tampa, FL 33629
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
3.5 baths
2,937 sqft
$3,075,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,047/sqft/sqft
2910 W Barcelona St Unit 1503, Tampa, FL 33629
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
3.5 baths
2,448 sqft
$2,000,000
Mar 1, 2026
$817/sqft/sqft
2611 Bayshore Blvd # 601, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds
4 baths
3,131 sqft
$1,015,000
Mar 1, 2026
$324/sqft/sqft
64 days on market
2413 Bayshore Blvd Unit 805, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,504 sqft
$560,000
Feb 1, 2026
$372/sqft/sqft
241 days on market
2611 Bayshore Blvd Apt 501, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,584 sqft
$530,000
Mar 1, 2026
$335/sqft/sqft
175 days on market
2401 Bayshore Blvd Unit 310, Tampa, FL 33629
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,104 sqft
$470,000
Mar 1, 2026
$426/sqft/sqft
154 days on market
3325 Bayshore Blvd Unit C14, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1.5 baths
728 sqft
$220,000
Mar 1, 2026
$302/sqft/sqft
181 days on market
3325 Bayshore Blvd Unit B13, Tampa, FL 33629
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1.5 baths
728 sqft
$215,000
Mar 1, 2026
$295/sqft/sqft
108 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$2,790/mo
33629 Avg Rent
33629 Cost to Own
Rent$2,850
Own$5,640

20% down, 6.3% rate, 0.8% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

33629 Avg nightly rate
33629 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$190/night
Occupancy176 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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