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Tampa, FL 33615 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33615
Report Date: February 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

The median sold price in Tampa, FL (ZIP: 33615) is $422,000, reflecting a notable shift in market dynamics. This figure indicates a more stable environment compared to previous years, aligning with the overall trend of price stabilization. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, suggesting a cooling market as buyers adjust to elevated interest rates and rising insurance costs.

Transaction activity appears moderate, characterized by elevated inventory levels relative to sales. The median days on market stands at 203 days, indicating a slower sales velocity. This extended time frame may reflect buyer hesitance amid financial pressures, contributing to a neutral market temperature. Overall, the market is transitioning toward a more balanced state, although challenges remain for affordability.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
Last 90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
160
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
60

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$530,000
Median Sold Price
$422,000
Median Price per Sqft
$277/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,380
Rent Range
$1,550 - $2,920

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.84%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
203
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tampa FL average around 5.75% to 6.09%, which is notably lower than the 6.09% to 6.3% range seen for similar loans originated in early 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. $422,000 is the median sold price, indicating a decrease of 8% since 2022, suggesting a cooling market.

  2. The median days on market is 203 days, reflecting a slower sales velocity and potential buyer hesitance.

  3. Elevated inventory levels suggest excess supply relative to sales activity, impacting pricing dynamics.

  4. The median market rent is $2,380, which may indicate pressure on affordability for potential buyers.

  5. Current mortgage rates range from 5.75% to 6.09%, contributing to elevated interest rate pressure in the market.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

Last 90 Days
5220 E Longboat Blvd, Tampa, FL 33615
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
4 baths
3,736 sqft
$1,490,000
Jan 1, 2026
$399/sqft/sqft
96 days on market
10007 Marathon Ct, Tampa, FL 33615
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3.5 baths
3,138 sqft
$1,248,000
Jan 1, 2026
$398/sqft/sqft
10614 Cape Hatteras Dr, Tampa, FL 33615
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,738 sqft
$899,000
Dec 1, 2025
$328/sqft/sqft
203 days on market
6509 W Longboat Blvd, Tampa, FL 33615
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,598 sqft
$438,000
Nov 1, 2025
$274/sqft/sqft
258 days on market
7709 Hinsdale Dr, Tampa, FL 33615
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,722 sqft
$430,000
Dec 1, 2025
$250/sqft/sqft
127 days on market
8841 Oak Cir, Tampa, FL 33615
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,680 sqft
$425,000
Dec 1, 2025
$253/sqft/sqft
198 days on market
7616 Colonial Ct, Tampa, FL 33615
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2.5 baths
1,316 sqft
$210,000
Dec 1, 2025
$160/sqft/sqft
131 days on market
9302 Memorial Hwy, Tampa, FL 33615
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

- beds
- baths
880 sqft
$170,000
Dec 1, 2025
$193/sqft/sqft

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 2/25/2026

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