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Tampa, FL 33611 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33611
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of March 2026, the real estate market in Tampa, FL (ZIP: 33611) reflects a median sold price of $486,500, indicating a stable transaction environment despite some fluctuations in pricing dynamics. The market appears to be in a corrective phase, with the median listing price at $598,000, suggesting a notable gap between seller expectations and actual market performance. This disparity may indicate pricing friction as sellers adjust to current market realities.

The median days on market stands at 245, highlighting a slower sales velocity, which could be attributed to elevated inventory levels relative to sales activity. The overall market temperature is described as neutral, suggesting a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. Despite high insurance costs and elevated interest rate pressure, the underlying economic strength from job and population growth continues to support the market's resilience.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
177
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
77

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$598,000
Median Sold Price
$486,500
Median Price per Sqft
$324/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,350
Rent Range
$1,530 - $2,890

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.92%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
245
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Market Temperature
neutral
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tampa FL 33611 average around 6.62% compared to a recent 2026 average of 6.07% for property owners in this market.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $486,500 reflects a stable transaction environment amidst pricing adjustments.

  2. With a median listing price of $598,000, there is a significant gap that may indicate pricing friction between seller expectations and market realities.

  3. The median days on market of 245 suggests a slower sales velocity, which may be due to elevated inventory levels.

  4. Current interest rate pressure is classified as elevated, impacting buyer affordability and overall market activity.

  5. The market temperature remains neutral, indicating a balanced environment with moderate transaction volume.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3215 W Fair Oaks Ave, Tampa, FL 33611
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
4 baths
4,025 sqft
$2,290,000
Feb 1, 2026
$569/sqft/sqft
348 days on market
3901 S Lynwood Ave, Tampa, FL 33611
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3.5 baths
3,382 sqft
$1,800,000
Jan 1, 2026
$532/sqft/sqft
116 days on market
2605 W Lykes Ct, Tampa, FL 33611
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
3,844 sqft
$1,654,000
Jan 1, 2026
$430/sqft/sqft
4313 S Grady Ave, Tampa, FL 33611
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,037 sqft
$457,000
Feb 1, 2026
$441/sqft/sqft
55 days on market
2803 Sanders Dr, Tampa, FL 33611
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

1 beds
1 baths
924 sqft
$450,000
Feb 1, 2026
$487/sqft/sqft
245 days on market
4626 W Bay Court Ave, Tampa, FL 33611
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
3 baths
1,709 sqft
$450,000
Jan 1, 2026
$263/sqft/sqft
1250 days on market
4510 S Lois Ave, Tampa, FL 33611
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,914 sqft
$3,200
Jan 1, 2026
$2/sqft/sqft
931 days on market
4317 S Trask St, Tampa, FL 33611
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
1,214 sqft
$1,600
Feb 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
3295 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/31/2026

GemHaus

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