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Tampa, FL 33626 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33626
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
79
Active Listings
49
Sold Properties
30

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$570,000
Median Sold Price
$599,000
Median Price per Sqft
$290/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,699

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.18%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
278
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price — 599,000 — which reflects realized transaction value for the period; the difference versus the median listing price of 570,000 suggests sellers may be setting asking prices above recent transaction levels, and this pricing friction may slow deal closures.

  2. The market shows slower sales velocity as indicated by the median days on market of 278, which appears to reflect prolonged marketing times and may indicate moderate liquidity pressure rather than rapid turnover.

  3. Price momentum is soft with the price year-over-year trend down while the market temperature is characterized as neutral; combined with elevated interest rate pressure described as elevated, this mix suggests sellers should expect longer negotiation windows and buyers remain sensitive to financing costs.

  4. Rental conditions show moderated strength: the median market rent is 2,699 and the rent year-over-year trend is down, which may temper investor upside from cash-flow dynamics even as rental demand fundamentals in the narrative remain present.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

11604 Splendid Ln, Tampa, FL 33626
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
4 baths
4,018 sqft
$1,725,000
Feb 1, 2026
$429/sqft/sqft
87 days on market
11624 Calf Path Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds
5.5 baths
5,499 sqft
$1,330,000
Mar 1, 2026
$242/sqft/sqft
168 days on market
9814 Emerald Links Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
3,548 sqft
$1,300,000
Mar 1, 2026
$366/sqft/sqft
165 days on market
12705 Aston Creek Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,702 sqft
$530,000
Mar 1, 2026
$311/sqft/sqft
98 days on market
11437 Crowned Sparrow Ln, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.5 baths
2,200 sqft
$526,400
Mar 1, 2026
$239/sqft/sqft
105 days on market
10101 Kingsbridge Ave, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.5 baths
1,880 sqft
$526,200
Feb 1, 2026
$280/sqft/sqft
9708 Gretna Green Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Value

Sold below market average

4 beds
2.5 baths
2,748 sqft
$350,100
Mar 1, 2026
$127/sqft/sqft
12512 Shirebrook Ct, Tampa, FL 33626
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2.5 baths
1,676 sqft
$340,000
Mar 1, 2026
$203/sqft/sqft
111 days on market

Tampa, FL 33626 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33626
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
36
Active Listings
6
Sold Properties
30

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$219,000
Median Sold Price
$232,000
Median Price per Sqft
$209/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,000

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.44%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
331
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator, median sold price 232,000, indicates where recent transactions are clearing and suggests market value is centered near that level; pricing appears stable with mild downward pressure given broader trend signals.

  2. Despite seller expectations implied by the median listing price of 219,000, the market shows a gap between asking and achieved prices that may indicate pricing friction as buyers calibrate to recent transactions.

  3. The median days on market 331 is notably long and points to slower sales velocity; this longer time-to-contract suggests liquidity is muted and sellers may need to adjust terms or pricing strategies to accelerate transactions.

  4. Market-wide indicators show price year-over-year trend is down, rent year-over-year trend is down, and interest rate pressure is elevated, which together suggest caution for short-term appreciation and that financing cost sensitivity is influencing buyer behavior.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

9836 W Park Village Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
3 baths
2,281 sqft
$450,000
Jan 1, 2026
$197/sqft/sqft
98 days on market
9731 Meadow Field Cir, Tampa, FL 33626
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
3 baths
1,961 sqft
$335,000
Dec 1, 2025
$171/sqft/sqft
331 days on market
9817 Meadow Field Cir, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,424 sqft
$320,000
Feb 1, 2026
$225/sqft/sqft
9140 Lake Chase Island Way, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,168 sqft
$220,000
Jan 1, 2026
$188/sqft/sqft
10538 Windsor Lake Ct, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,373 sqft
$219,900
Dec 1, 2025
$160/sqft/sqft
11907 Dietz Dr, Tampa, FL 33626
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1.5 baths
1,200 sqft
$219,000
Jan 1, 2026
$183/sqft/sqft
9584 Lake Chase Island Way, Tampa, FL 33626
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,140 sqft
$155,000
Dec 1, 2025
$136/sqft/sqft
9586 Lake Chase Island Way, Tampa, FL 33626
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
1 baths
554 sqft
$138,000
Dec 1, 2025
$249/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,094/mo
33626 Avg Rent
33626 Cost to Own
Rent$2,699
Own$3,793

20% down, 6.5% rate, 1.2% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

33626 Avg nightly rate
33626 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$179/night
Occupancy169 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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