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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$971K

The median listing price in Tampa, FL ZIP 33609 is $971,000 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$2,525/mo

The median market rent in Tampa, FL ZIP 33609 is $2,525/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
346 days

The median days on market in Tampa, FL ZIP 33609 is 346 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.12%

At a median list price of $971,000 and a median rent of $2,525/month, the gross rental yield in Tampa, FL ZIP 33609 is 3.12% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,467/mo STR · $2,525/mo LTR

In Tampa, FL ZIP 33609, median Airbnb revenue is $2,467/month compared to median long-term rent of $2,525/month as of June 2026.

Tampa, FL 33609 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33609

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
121
Active Listings
86
Sold Properties
35

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$971,000
Median Sold Price
$618,000
Median Price per Sqft
$381/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,525

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.99%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
346
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary market value signal is the median sold price of 618,000, which represents the most reliable indicator of recent transaction activity and suggests current realized pricing in the ZIP code; use sold prices for valuation and underwriting when assessing comps and offers.
  2. There is a notable divergence between the median listing price of 971,000 and the median sold price of 618,000, which may indicate pricing friction and elevated seller expectations that could depress closing velocity unless sellers adjust expectations or buyers accept premiums.
  3. The median days on market of 346 points to slower sales velocity and reduced liquidity; longer time to contract suggests buyers can negotiate more concessions or contingencies, and sellers should consider price or marketing adjustments to accelerate turnover.
  4. Broader market signals—price year-over-year trend is down, rent year-over-year trend is down, market temperature is neutral, and interest rate pressure is elevated—combine to create a cautious operating environment; expect constrained appetite for aggressive price growth and prioritize conservative pricing, tighter underwriting, and contingency planning for financing headwinds.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

4111 W Swann Ave, Tampa, FL 33609
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds4.5 baths4,532 sqft
$2,500,000
Apr 1, 2026
$552/sqft/sqft
3435 days on market
808 S Bayside Dr, Tampa, FL 33609
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds3.5 baths3,885 sqft
$1,600,000
Apr 1, 2026
$412/sqft/sqft
3614 W De Leon St, Tampa, FL 33609
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds1.5 baths1,437 sqft
$1,585,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,103/sqft/sqft
214 days on market
3232 W Horatio St, Tampa, FL 33609
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds3.5 baths1,800 sqft
$643,500
May 1, 2026
$358/sqft/sqft
1263 days on market
210 S Obrien St, Tampa, FL 33609
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2 baths1,594 sqft
$630,000
Mar 1, 2026
$395/sqft/sqft
885 days on market
4114 W Fig St, Tampa, FL 33609
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2 baths1,411 sqft
$614,000
Mar 1, 2026
$435/sqft/sqft
144 days on market
2723 W State St, Tampa, FL 33609
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2 baths1,290 sqft
$360,000
May 1, 2026
$279/sqft/sqft
107 days on market
3915 W State St, Tampa, FL 33609
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds1 baths1,058 sqft
$353,500
Apr 1, 2026
$334/sqft/sqft
647 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,288/mo
33609 Avg Rent
33609 Cost to Own
Rent$2,525
Own$3,813

20% down, 6.50% rate, 1.0% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

33609 Avg nightly rate
33609 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$159/night
Occupancy143 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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