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Lakeland, FL 33813 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33813
Report Date: February 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

The median sold price in Lakeland, FL (ZIP: 33813) currently stands at $385,000, reflecting a market that has shown signs of cooling, with a year-over-year trend indicating a decline. This decrease suggests that the neighborhood has decreased in value, potentially impacting buyer sentiment and negotiation dynamics. The elevated median listing price of $452,500 indicates a gap between seller expectations and actual market performance, which may lead to pricing friction as sellers adjust to the current market conditions.

Transaction activity is characterized by a median days on market of 182, indicating a slower sales velocity. This extended time frame may reflect buyer hesitance amid elevated interest rate pressure, currently hovering around 6.00% to 6.17% for 30-year fixed mortgages. Overall, the market temperature is assessed as neutral, suggesting a balanced state where buyers have gained some leverage in negotiations, while rental rates are also softening, providing potential affordability relief for renters.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
Last 90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
169
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
69

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$452,500
Median Sold Price
$385,000
Median Price per Sqft
$204/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,920
Rent Range
$1,150 - $2,420

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.54%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
182
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Lakeland, FL are around 6.00% to 6.17%, which is slightly higher than the 5.88% average seen in late 2025/early 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $385,000 indicates a market that has decreased year-over-year, signaling potential buyer caution.

  2. With a median listing price of $452,500, there is a notable gap between seller expectations and actual sold prices, suggesting pricing friction in negotiations.

  3. The median days on market of 182 reflects a slower sales velocity, indicating that properties are taking longer to sell in the current market.

  4. Current mortgage rates between 6.00% and 6.17% represent elevated interest rate pressure, which may be contributing to buyer hesitance.

  5. The rental market is experiencing a down trend in median market rent, currently at $1,920, suggesting some affordability relief for renters.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

Last 90 Days
6623 Crescent Lake Dr, Lakeland, FL 33813
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
4 baths
3,152 sqft
$990,000
Feb 1, 2026
$314/sqft/sqft
273 days on market
5071 Windover Ln, Lakeland, FL 33813
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,760 sqft
$875,000
Jan 1, 2026
$317/sqft/sqft
118 days on market
1102 Lake Point Dr, Lakeland, FL 33813
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
3,441 sqft
$861,993
Jan 1, 2026
$251/sqft/sqft
6330 Silver Leaf Ln, Lakeland, FL 33813
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,859 sqft
$373,500
Jan 1, 2026
$201/sqft/sqft
146 days on market
5324 Messina, Lakeland, FL 33813
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,522 sqft
$365,000
Dec 1, 2025
$240/sqft/sqft
246 days on market
4008 S Carlisle Rd, Lakeland, FL 33813
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,728 sqft
$364,990
Dec 1, 2025
$211/sqft/sqft
260 days on market
4205 Old Road 37 Apt 13, Lakeland, FL 33813
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,076 sqft
$189,500
Dec 1, 2025
$176/sqft/sqft
131 days on market
5023 Kingswood Dr, Lakeland, FL 33813
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,656 sqft
$122,333
Dec 1, 2025
$74/sqft/sqft

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 2/25/2026

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