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Lakeland, FL 33811 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33811
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
136
Active Listings
86
Sold Properties
50

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$345,000
Median Sold Price
$339,000
Median Price per Sqft
$188/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,070

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.90%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
245
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Lakeland, FL, are approximately 6.3% compared to the 5.9% market average observed in February 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. $339,000 median sold price is the best indicator of current market value in ZIP 33811 and suggests transaction prices are modestly below asking levels, signaling sellers should consider realistic pricing to secure offers more quickly.

  2. $345,000 median listing price compared with the median sold price highlights a pricing gap that may create pricing friction; agents should prioritize staged comparables and targeted marketing to bridge expectations.

  3. 245 median days on market indicates slower sales velocity and elevated time-to-contract, which may require sellers to offer concessions or flexible terms to improve liquidity, while buyers can use longer marketing windows to negotiate.

  4. median market rent $2,070 and $188 median price per square foot frame investment comparables; with price year-over-year trend reported as up but rent year-over-year trend down, investors should underwrite conservatively and account for elevated interest rate pressure (local 30-year fixed ~6.3% vs 5.9% market average) when assessing cash flow and financing sensitivity.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

6482 English Creek Dr, Lakeland, FL 33811
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
3 baths
2,980 sqft
$650,000
Mar 1, 2026
$218/sqft/sqft
73 days on market
6930 Poley Creek Dr W, Lakeland, FL 33811
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,382 sqft
$650,000
Feb 1, 2026
$273/sqft/sqft
102 days on market
4344 Whistlewood Cir, Lakeland, FL 33811
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds
4 baths
3,461 sqft
$555,000
Mar 1, 2026
$160/sqft/sqft
240 days on market
4844 S Dossey Rd, Lakeland, FL 33811
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,485 sqft
$352,000
Mar 1, 2026
$237/sqft/sqft
106 days on market
4316 Pipkin Creek Rd, Lakeland, FL 33811
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,347 sqft
$350,000
Feb 1, 2026
$260/sqft/sqft
99 days on market
4620 Lathloa Loop, Lakeland, FL 33811
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,816 sqft
$346,000
Mar 1, 2026
$191/sqft/sqft
136 days on market
6301 Lunn Rd, Lakeland, FL 33811
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
1,040 sqft
$170,000
Mar 1, 2026
$163/sqft/sqft
4919 Wildflower Dr, Lakeland, FL 33811
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,192 sqft
$165,000
Mar 1, 2026
$138/sqft/sqft

Lakeland, FL 33811 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33811
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
50
Active Listings
0
Sold Properties
50

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$0
Median Sold Price
$332,000
Median Price per Sqft
$162/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,295

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.48%

Liquidity & Velocity

Liquidity metrics unavailable due to insufficient data quality.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Lakeland, FL, are approximately 6.3% compared to the 5.9% market average observed in February 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. median sold price is the primary indicator of market value and recent transaction activity, but a specific median sold price is not available in the provided metrics; this limits point estimates of current value and requires relying on trends and sample context (the analysis sample includes 50 sold properties) to assess recent market behavior. missing median sold price

  2. price year-over-year trend: up indicates modest upward pressure on realized prices even as the market shifts toward balance; combined with a neutral market temperature, this suggests a market that appears balanced with limited upside momentum for sellers.

  3. median market rent: 1,295 and rent year-over-year trend: down together show softening rental conditions in the area, which may reduce near-term investor appetite for buy-to-rent acquisitions and increase sensitivity to rental income projections. down

  4. interest rate pressure: elevated and the property rate comparison showing current 30-year fixed mortgage rates at approximately 6.3% versus a 5.9% market average observed in February 2026 indicate higher financing costs locally; this elevated rate pressure may dampen buyer purchasing power and contribute to pricing friction despite the upward price trend.


Notable Properties

The following 3 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3923 Serenade Ln, Lakeland, FL 33811
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
2 baths
2,048 sqft
$340,000
Aug 1, 2025
$166/sqft/sqft
3903 Serenade Ln, Lakeland, FL 33811
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,048 sqft
$337,000
Sep 1, 2025
$165/sqft/sqft
269 days on market
3852 Serenade Ln, Lakeland, FL 33811
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,048 sqft
$297,000
Aug 1, 2025
$145/sqft/sqft
373 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

$37/mo
33811 Avg Rent
33811 Cost to Own
Rent$2,070
Own$2,033

20% down, 6.3% rate, 0.9% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

33811 Avg nightly rate
33811 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$164/night
Occupancy115 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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