GemHausNew report

Lakeland, FL 33809 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33809
Report Date: April 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

The real estate market in Lakeland, FL (ZIP: 33809) is currently characterized by a median sold price of $299,000, reflecting a stable market environment. The neighborhood has shown a flat price trend, indicating that while there is no significant appreciation or depreciation, the market remains resilient amidst fluctuating economic conditions. The median days on market stands at 249, suggesting a slower sales velocity, which may indicate a cautious buyer sentiment or elevated inventory levels relative to sales activity.

With a median listing price of $324,900, there exists a notable pricing gap between listings and actual sales, which may create friction for sellers aiming to meet buyer expectations. The overall market temperature is described as neutral, suggesting a balance between supply and demand, although elevated interest rate pressure at 6.38% may influence buyer behavior and transaction volume moving forward. This environment presents opportunities for both buyers and sellers to navigate a market that is stable yet requires strategic pricing and timing.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
117
Active Listings
63
Sold Properties
54

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$324,900
Median Sold Price
$299,000
Median Price per Sqft
$194/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,123
Rent Range
$1,659 - $2,603

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.73%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
249
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Lakeland, FL are averaging 6.38%, which is 0.26% higher than the 6.12% average seen in March 2025.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $299,000 indicates a stable market with no significant appreciation or depreciation.

  2. With a median days on market of 249, the market is experiencing a slower sales velocity, suggesting potential pricing friction.

  3. The median listing price of $324,900 creates a notable gap compared to the sold price, which may challenge sellers in achieving their asking prices.

  4. The market temperature is currently neutral, reflecting a balance between supply and demand conditions in the area.

  5. Elevated interest rate pressure at 6.38% may impact buyer sentiment and overall transaction volume moving forward.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

15383 Evans Ranch Rd, Lakeland, FL 33809
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
2 baths
3,225 sqft
$785,000
Mar 1, 2026
$243/sqft/sqft
230 days on market
1558 Yorkshire Trl, Lakeland, FL 33809
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
4 baths
3,375 sqft
$650,000
Mar 1, 2026
$193/sqft/sqft
88 days on market
926 Meadowood Dr, Lakeland, FL 33809
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,495 sqft
$599,950
Mar 1, 2026
$240/sqft/sqft
78 days on market
6054 Crane Dr, Lakeland, FL 33809
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,915 sqft
$320,000
Mar 1, 2026
$167/sqft/sqft
230 days on market
413 Vineyard Dr, Lakeland, FL 33809
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,707 sqft
$319,000
Mar 1, 2026
$187/sqft/sqft
47 days on market
415 Ed Padgett Rd, Lakeland, FL 33809
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,350 sqft
$306,000
Jan 1, 2026
$227/sqft/sqft
112 Amy Cir, Lakeland, FL 33809
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,008 sqft
$199,000
Feb 1, 2026
$197/sqft/sqft
61 days on market
858 Concord Ln, Lakeland, FL 33809
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,240 sqft
$1,250
Mar 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
3834 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 4/1/2026

GemHaus

Get personalized market intelligence

Analyze properties in Lakeland, FL with valuations, rental estimates, highest-and-best-use signals, and operating costs.

Nearby Market Reports