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Lakeland, FL 33812 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33812
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
54
Active Listings
30
Sold Properties
24

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$389,450
Median Sold Price
$373,000
Median Price per Sqft
$203/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,000

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.74%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
321
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Lakeland, FL, average 6.32%, which is 0.45% higher than the 5.87% market average observed in February 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of recent market value is the median sold price at 373,000, which represents the most reliable signal of realized transaction values and suggests a market anchored near this price level while activity remains measured.

  2. Price momentum is up year‑over‑year, yet the median listing price at 389,450 sits above the median sold price — this gap may indicate pricing friction where seller expectations exceed recent transaction prices.

  3. Market liquidity appears slower: the median days on market is 321, which, combined with a relatively constrained active supply in the analyzed sample and a neutral market temperature, suggests balanced conditions with extended time-to-contract rather than rapid turnover.

  4. Unit-level economics show a median price per square foot of 203 and a median market rent of 2,000; with rent trends up but interest rate pressure elevated, financing costs (per recent local comparisons) may temper buyer capacity despite rent growth.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3170 Pearly Dr, Lakeland, FL 33812
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
3 baths
2,245 sqft
$620,000
Mar 1, 2026
$276/sqft/sqft
100 days on market
3202 Summerland Hills Ct, Lakeland, FL 33812
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,469 sqft
$530,000
Mar 1, 2026
$215/sqft/sqft
116 days on market
3928 Sunnywood Cir, Lakeland, FL 33812
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,443 sqft
$525,000
Mar 1, 2026
$215/sqft/sqft
178 days on market
3617 Southcrest Blvd, Lakeland, FL 33812
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
2,162 sqft
$340,000
Mar 1, 2026
$157/sqft/sqft
207 days on market
3649 Dogwood Pl, Lakeland, FL 33812
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,841 sqft
$335,000
Mar 1, 2026
$182/sqft/sqft
3573 Kenwood Xing, Lakeland, FL 33812
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,514 sqft
$332,000
Mar 1, 2026
$219/sqft/sqft
2241 Eastmeadows Ct, Lakeland, FL 33812
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,432 sqft
$193,300
Feb 1, 2026
$135/sqft/sqft
5493 Beverly Rise Blvd, Lakeland, FL 33812
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,659 sqft
$150,000
Feb 1, 2026
$90/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$185/mo
33812 Avg Rent
33812 Cost to Own
Rent$2,000
Own$2,185

20% down, 6.3% rate, 0.7% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

33812 Avg nightly rate
33812 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$122/night
Occupancy154 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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