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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$2.63M

The median listing price in Mill Valley, CA ZIP 94941 is $2,625,000 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$3,595/mo

The median market rent in Mill Valley, CA ZIP 94941 is $3,595/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
260 days

The median days on market in Mill Valley, CA ZIP 94941 is 260 days as of June 2026. The market is currently hot.

Gross rental yield
1.64%

At a median list price of $2,625,000 and a median rent of $3,595/month, the gross rental yield in Mill Valley, CA ZIP 94941 is 1.64% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$6,977/mo STR · $3,595/mo LTR

In Mill Valley, CA ZIP 94941, median Airbnb revenue is $6,977/month compared to median long-term rent of $3,595/month as of June 2026.

Mill Valley, CA 94941 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 94941

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
HOT

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
191
Active Listings
25
Sold Properties
166

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$2,625,000
Median Sold Price
$2,500,000
Median Price per Sqft
$1,079/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,595

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.91%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
260
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Hot market indicates strong buyer demand with limited inventory, typically characterized by rising prices, quick sales (low days on market), and inventory levels below historical averages.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
hot
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Mill Valley, CA are approximately 6.6%, reflecting a period of elevated borrowing costs compared to the lower rate environment seen earlier in 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. median sold price: 2,500,000 — The median sold price remains the primary indicator of realized market value in Mill Valley; with a marketTemperature described as hot and a price year-over-year trend of up, recent transaction values suggest continued upward momentum and pricing power for SFR and condo sellers. hot
  2. median days on market: 260 — The extended median days on market points to slower transaction velocity than typical for a hot market and may indicate greater pricing friction or careful buyer selection; this appears to moderate liquidity despite strong price trends and suggests sellers may face longer wait times to achieve contract terms. slower sales velocity
  3. median listing price: 2,625,000 vs. median sold price: 2,500,000 — The gap between listing and sold medians suggests persistent seller pricing above recent transaction levels, which may lead to longer time-to-contract for properties that do not align with buyer valuation; sellers should consider pricing strategies that reflect the representative recent sale level to improve conversion. pricing friction
  4. median market rent: 3,595 and median price per square foot: 1,079 — Rental rates and per-square-foot pricing support continued investor and local demand, but moderate interest rate pressure (noted as moderate, with current 30-year fixed mortgage rates around 6.6%) may temper buyer affordability and pace of transactions; market participants should factor financing costs into pricing and hold/sell timing. moderate interest rate pressure

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

431 E Strawberry Dr, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds4.5 baths5,765 sqft
$10,625,000
May 1, 2026
$1,843/sqft/sqft
755 days on market
469 Molino Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds4 baths4,554 sqft
$9,000,000
May 1, 2026
$1,976/sqft/sqft
116 days on market
124 Sycamore Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Premium

Sold above market average

6 beds5.5 baths3,560 sqft
$8,500,000
May 1, 2026
$2,388/sqft/sqft
120 E Manor Dr, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds1 baths1,204 sqft
$2,400,000
Apr 1, 2026
$1,993/sqft/sqft
417 days on market
841 Chamberlain Ct, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds3 baths2,078 sqft
$2,400,000
May 1, 2026
$1,155/sqft/sqft
115 days on market
525 Fairview Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2 baths1,314 sqft
$2,400,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,826/sqft/sqft
402 days on market
34 Walnut Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds1 baths816 sqft
$950,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,164/sqft/sqft
809 days on market
425 Montford Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2 baths1,682 sqft
$809,000
May 1, 2026
$481/sqft/sqft
231 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$11,706/mo
94941 Avg Rent
94941 Cost to Own
Rent$3,595
Own$15,301

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.9% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

94941 Avg nightly rate
94941 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$416/night
Occupancy208 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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