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Camp Connell, CA 95223 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 95223
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: HOT
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
45
Active Listings
8
Sold Properties
37

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$572,000
Median Sold Price
$440,400
Median Price per Sqft
$280/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,700

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.00%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
386
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Hot market indicates strong buyer demand with limited inventory, typically characterized by rising prices, quick sales (low days on market), and inventory levels below historical averages.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
hot
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Camp Connell market are averaging 6.49%, reflecting the prevailing interest rate environment for property owners in this area during May 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's primary market indicator, the median sold price, is 440,400, which reflects recent transaction levels and should be treated as the best indicator of realized market value; priced lower year-over-year signals on-list expectations may be softening despite ongoing competition.

  2. There is a notable gap between the median listing price of 572,000 and the median sold price of 440,400, which may indicate pricing friction or optimistic seller expectations relative to completed transactions; moderate days-on-market pressure (median days on market is 386) suggests transactions are taking longer to close.

  3. Market temperature is hot, which combined with the median sold price of 440,400 suggests that well-priced SFR and condo inventory can still sell competitively, but broader price momentum is down year-over-year, so sellers should calibrate expectations to recent sales.

  4. Interest rate pressure is moderate (current 30-year fixed average ~6.49%), and the median market rent of 1,700 provides contextual demand for rentals; given limited rental inventory and a hot market, owners considering conversion to rent should weigh longer sales timelines against steady rental rates.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1834 Thunderbolt Trl, Arnold, CA 95223
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
5 baths
5,736 sqft
$1,700,000
Apr 1, 2026
$296/sqft/sqft
280 days on market
1115 Meadow Dr, Arnold, CA 95223
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2.5 baths
2,400 sqft
$1,035,000
Feb 1, 2026
$431/sqft/sqft
309 Snowshoe Rd, Bear Valley, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,938 sqft
$888,500
Mar 1, 2026
$302/sqft/sqft
2161 Yana Ln, Camp Connell, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,472 sqft
$420,000
Feb 1, 2026
$285/sqft/sqft
4812 Meko Dr, Camp Connell, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,500 sqft
$410,000
Apr 1, 2026
$273/sqft/sqft
2261 Mokelumne Rd E, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,008 sqft
$405,000
Mar 1, 2026
$402/sqft/sqft
2732 Pine Dr, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
1 baths
840 sqft
$240,000
Mar 1, 2026
$286/sqft/sqft
361 days on market
2126 Choctaw Dr, Arnold, CA 95223
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,010 sqft
$160,000
Feb 1, 2026
$80/sqft/sqft

Camp Connell, CA 95223 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 95223
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: HOT
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
37
Active Listings
0
Sold Properties
37

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$0
Median Sold Price
$229,747
Median Price per Sqft
$298/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,700

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.17%

Liquidity & Velocity

Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Hot market indicates strong buyer demand with limited inventory, typically characterized by rising prices, quick sales (low days on market), and inventory levels below historical averages.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
hot
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Camp Connell market are averaging 6.49%, reflecting the prevailing interest rate environment for property owners in this area during May 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's median sold price is 229,747, which should be treated as the primary indicator of current market value given recent transactions; note the price year-over-year trend is down, signaling recent softening in sale prices despite active buyer interest.

  2. The market's valuation context shows a median price per square foot of 298 alongside a median market rent of 1,700; this snapshot is drawn from a sample of 37 sold properties analyzed and suggests pricing is anchored at a relatively high per-square-foot level for the area, which may create pricing friction for properties that are not well positioned.

  3. Market liquidity remains competitive and transaction velocity is strong while the market temperature is hot, meaning well-priced SFR and condo listings continue to attract rapid activity and multiple-offer scenarios; sellers who price realistically appear to maintain negotiating leverage while others may face moderate resistance.

  4. Financing and carrying-cost dynamics matter: interest rate pressure is labeled moderate and local financing conditions note that Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Camp Connell market are averaging 6.49%, which may temper buyer purchasing power and should be factored into seller pricing and buyer budgeting strategies.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

251 Bear Valley Rd # 3, Arnold, CA 95223
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

2 beds
2 baths
1,224 sqft
$401,500
Aug 1, 2025
$328/sqft/sqft
260 Bear Valley Rd # 5, Arnold, CA 95223
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
1 baths
825 sqft
$289,000
Jul 1, 2025
$350/sqft/sqft
1001 days on market
1006 Manuel Rd, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.5 baths
1,316 sqft
$250,000
Aug 1, 2025
$190/sqft/sqft
200 Creekside Dr # 84, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

1 beds
1 baths
594 sqft
$236,000
Feb 1, 2026
$397/sqft/sqft
1470 days on market
978 Manuel Rd, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1.5 baths
1,214 sqft
$213,000
Oct 1, 2025
$175/sqft/sqft
1026 Manuel Rd, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2.5 baths
1,326 sqft
$211,000
Oct 1, 2025
$159/sqft/sqft
1026 Manuel Rd, Arnold, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2.5 baths
1,326 sqft
$211,000
Oct 1, 2025
$159/sqft/sqft
74 Bear Valley Rd # 2, Bear Valley, CA 95223
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
- baths
584 sqft
$165,000
Sep 1, 2025
$283/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$975/mo
95223 Avg Rent
95223 Cost to Own
Rent$1,700
Own$2,675

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.0% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

95223 Avg nightly rate
95223 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$256/night
Occupancy112 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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