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Sun City, AZ 85351 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85351
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
357
Active Listings
200
Sold Properties
157

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$303,000
Median Sold Price
$297,000
Median Price per Sqft
$200/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,800

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.36%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
184
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price, which is 297,000, and it represents the most reliable gauge of recent transaction-level value in Sun City (ZIP 85351) given current conditions.

  2. Recent liquidity appears muted: the market shows a long median days on market of 184, which suggests slower sales velocity and downward pressure on turnover that may indicate increased time-to-contract for typical SFR and condo listings.

  3. There is a modest gap between the median listing price and the median sold price—303,000 listing vs 297,000 sold—which may indicate pricing friction where seller expectations exceed recent transaction levels and neutral market temperature suggests limited upside to close that gap quickly.

  4. Market-level trends are signaling softening demand: year-over-year price trend is down and rent year-over-year trend is down, while interest rate pressure is moderate, collectively implying a cooling market environment and softer leasing conditions that may prolong listing lifecycles.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

13807 N Crown Pt, Sun City, AZ 85351
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
2 baths
3,690 sqft
$875,000
Mar 1, 2026
$237/sqft/sqft
2922 days on market
14039 N Driftwood Pt, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
3,373 sqft
$755,000
Mar 1, 2026
$224/sqft/sqft
113 days on market
9442 W Raintree Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
2,489 sqft
$649,900
Apr 1, 2026
$261/sqft/sqft
375 days on market
11165 W Cameo Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,541 sqft
$300,000
Apr 1, 2026
$195/sqft/sqft
283 days on market
15026 N Cameo Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,086 sqft
$300,000
Mar 1, 2026
$276/sqft/sqft
83 days on market
9939 W Ironwood Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,679 sqft
$299,000
Apr 1, 2026
$178/sqft/sqft
360 days on market
13611 N 98th Ave Unit C, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,180 sqft
$153,000
Apr 1, 2026
$130/sqft/sqft
151 days on market
13618 N 98th Ave Unit C, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
1,141 sqft
$115,000
Feb 1, 2026
$101/sqft/sqft
363 days on market

Sun City, AZ 85351 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85351
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
257
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
157

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$209,900
Median Sold Price
$219,900
Median Price per Sqft
$165/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,350

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.34%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
241
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary market signal is the median sold price of 219,900, which represents the most reliable indicator of realized value in recent transactions and should be the baseline for pricing and appraisal conversations.

  2. There is a notable pricing gap between the median listing price of 209,900 and the median sold price of 219,900, which may indicate seller pricing that understates recent transaction levels or selective acceptance of offers; this dynamic suggests pricing friction that negotiators and appraisers should explicitly account for.

  3. Liquidity appears slow: the median days on market of 241 signals extended marketing time and slower sales velocity, which may indicate buyers have more time to negotiate and that sellers should plan for longer marketing periods.

  4. Broader market signals are mixed to soft: year-over-year down price trend and year-over-year down rent trend align with the local snapshot, while the market temperature is neutral and interest rate pressure is moderate — together these suggest measured caution for pricing and underwriting rather than aggressive expansion of exposure.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

13806 N Crown Pt, Sun City, AZ 85351
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

2 beds
2 baths
1,690 sqft
$460,000
Feb 1, 2026
$272/sqft/sqft
95 days on market
10009 W Pleasant Valley Rd, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,643 sqft
$350,000
Apr 1, 2026
$213/sqft/sqft
826 days on market
10605 W Roundelay Cir, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,683 sqft
$335,000
Mar 1, 2026
$199/sqft/sqft
102 days on market
10236 N 105th Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,756 sqft
$219,900
Apr 1, 2026
$125/sqft/sqft
78 days on market
10150 W Hutton Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,210 sqft
$219,000
Apr 1, 2026
$181/sqft/sqft
102 days on market
9960 W Forrester Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,256 sqft
$219,000
Apr 1, 2026
$174/sqft/sqft
233 days on market
10330 W Thunderbird Blvd Apt C104, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,004 sqft
$77,000
Apr 1, 2026
$77/sqft/sqft
79 days on market
10330 W Thunderbird Blvd Apt A131, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
841 sqft
$70,000
Mar 1, 2026
$83/sqft/sqft
67 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

$123/mo
85351 Avg Rent
85351 Cost to Own
Rent$1,800
Own$1,677

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85351 Avg nightly rate
85351 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$176/night
Occupancy108 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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