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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$301K

The median listing price in Sun City, AZ ZIP 85351 is $301,000 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,800/mo

The median market rent in Sun City, AZ ZIP 85351 is $1,800/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
269 days

The median days on market in Sun City, AZ ZIP 85351 is 269 days as of June 2026. The market is currently cold.

Gross rental yield
7.18%

At a median list price of $301,000 and a median rent of $1,800/month, the gross rental yield in Sun City, AZ ZIP 85351 is 7.18% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$1,688/mo STR · $1,800/mo LTR

In Sun City, AZ ZIP 85351, median Airbnb revenue is $1,688/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,800/month as of June 2026.

Sun City, AZ 85351 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85351

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
COLD

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
379
Active Listings
200
Sold Properties
179

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$301,000
Median Sold Price
$259,000
Median Price per Sqft
$191/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,800

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.36%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
269
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Cold market indicates weak buyer demand relative to available inventory, typically characterized by declining or flat prices, extended days on market, and elevated inventory levels relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
cold
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Sun City AZ are averaging approximately 6.5%, reflecting a market environment where rates remain elevated compared to the sub-4% levels seen in recent historical cycles.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood’s primary market signal is the median sold price of $259,000, which represents the best indicator of realized value and recent transaction activity; this sits below the median listing price of $301,000, suggesting a meaningful pricing gap that may reflect seller expectation adjustments. down
  2. Extended selling timelines—median days on market of 269—point to slower sales velocity and reduced liquidity; combined with the market temperature labeled as cold, this suggests transactions are taking longer and sellers may need to price more competitively to expedite sales.
  3. Inventory conditions in the analyzed sample show elevated inventory relative to sales activity, which appears consistent with the reported price year-over-year trend being down; this excess supply relative to demand may continue to apply downward pressure on realized prices and increase negotiating leverage for buyers.
  4. Rental and financing headwinds are adding to market softness: the median market rent is $1,800 and the rent year-over-year trend is down, while interest rate pressure is described as elevated and current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging approximately 6.5%, which may constrain buyer affordability and slow market recovery.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

13807 N Crown Pt, Sun City, AZ 85351
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds2 baths3,690 sqft
$875,000
Mar 1, 2026
$237/sqft/sqft
2953 days on market
14039 N Driftwood Pt, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2.67 baths3,373 sqft
$755,000
Mar 1, 2026
$224/sqft/sqft
144 days on market
9442 W Raintree Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2.67 baths2,489 sqft
$649,900
Apr 1, 2026
$261/sqft/sqft
2089 days on market
14462 N Boswell Blvd, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds2 baths1,638 sqft
$292,000
Apr 1, 2026
$178/sqft/sqft
3567 days on market
12062 N Saint Annes Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2 baths1,487 sqft
$291,400
Apr 1, 2026
$196/sqft/sqft
273 days on market
9710 W Forrester Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds2 baths1,976 sqft
$290,000
May 1, 2026
$147/sqft/sqft
125 days on market
10532 W Cheryl Dr, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Below-market acquisition. Investor purchase with value-add potential through renovation.

2 beds1 baths972 sqft
$140,000
May 1, 2026
$144/sqft/sqft
12 days on market
10656 W Connecticut Ave, Sun City, AZ 85351
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds1 baths1,722 sqft
$106,000
May 1, 2026
$62/sqft/sqft
175 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

$333/mo
85351 Avg Rent
85351 Cost to Own
Rent$1,800
Own$1,467

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85351 Avg nightly rate
85351 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$170/night
Occupancy112 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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