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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$4.85M

The median listing price in Paradise Valley, AZ ZIP 85253 is $4,850,000 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,820/mo

The median market rent in Paradise Valley, AZ ZIP 85253 is $1,820/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
423 days

The median days on market in Paradise Valley, AZ ZIP 85253 is 423 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
0.45%

At a median list price of $4,850,000 and a median rent of $1,820/month, the gross rental yield in Paradise Valley, AZ ZIP 85253 is 0.45% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$3,930/mo STR · $1,820/mo LTR

In Paradise Valley, AZ ZIP 85253, median Airbnb revenue is $3,930/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,820/month as of June 2026.

Paradise Valley, AZ 85253 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85253

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
282
Active Listings
141
Sold Properties
141

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$4,850,000
Median Sold Price
$3,061,000
Median Price per Sqft
$751/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,820

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.22%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
423
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Paradise Valley, AZ are averaging 6.5%, reflecting a stable market environment for property owners compared to the 2026 year-to-date range of 5.98% to 6.65%.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price of 3,061,000, which represents recent transaction values and should be treated as the clearest signal of neighborhood-level market value.
  2. There is a notable spread between the median listing price of 4,850,000 and the median sold price of 3,061,000, which may indicate pricing friction where seller expectations exceed recent transaction prices; this appears alongside neutral market conditions and suggests careful pricing strategy is needed to improve sale likelihood.
  3. Market velocity is slow by days-to-contract standards: the median days on market is 423, which points to slower sales velocity rather than immediate clearance of inventory and may require targeted marketing or price adjustments to accelerate transactions.
  4. Market context signals are mixed: the price year-over-year trend is flat, the market temperature is neutral (balanced), rent year-over-year trend is down (softening), and interest rate pressure is moderate (caution), together suggesting a moderated appreciation environment where luxury pricing should be validated against recent sold comps.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

5815 N Saguaro Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

15 beds2 baths4,308 sqft
$32,500,000
Mar 1, 2026
$7,544/sqft/sqft
1817 days on market
6305 E Mcdonald Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds11.67 baths13,153 sqft
$32,500,000
Apr 1, 2026
$2,471/sqft/sqft
5641 N Casa Blanca Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

7 beds7.33 baths9,024 sqft
$20,900,000
Apr 1, 2026
$2,316/sqft/sqft
262 days on market
8150 N Ridgeview Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds7.33 baths7,059 sqft
$4,200,000
May 1, 2026
$595/sqft/sqft
269 days on market
9497 N 55th St, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

6 beds6.33 baths6,821 sqft
$4,200,000
Mar 1, 2026
$616/sqft/sqft
207 days on market
5518 E Sanna St, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

4 beds5.67 baths5,200 sqft
$4,175,000
Apr 1, 2026
$803/sqft/sqft
3282 days on market
5658 N Scottsdale Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2 baths2,128 sqft
$1,410,000
May 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
633 days on market
10201 N 58th Pl, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds2 baths2,868 sqft
$1,410,000
May 1, 2026
$492/sqft/sqft
123 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$15,162/mo
85253 Avg Rent
85253 Cost to Own
Rent$1,820
Own$16,982

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.2% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85253 Avg nightly rate
85253 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$241/night
Occupancy170 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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