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Paradise Valley, AZ 85253 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85253
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
293
Active Listings
142
Sold Properties
151

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$4,950,000
Median Sold Price
$3,795,000
Median Price per Sqft
$800/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,850

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.22%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
331
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of market value and recent transaction activity is the median sold price of $3,795,000, which represents the neighborhood's representative recent sale and should anchor pricing decisions. use sold-price signal

  2. Liquidity appears slow: the median days on market of 331 suggests extended marketing periods and slower sales velocity, which may require pricing or marketing concessions to accelerate transactions.

  3. There is a noticeable pricing gap between seller expectations and realized sales: the median listing price of $4,950,000 sits materially above the median sold price, which suggests pricing friction and potential downward negotiation pressure on asking prices.

  4. Market context is balanced with upward momentum: the market temperature is neutral while year-over-year signals show prices are up and rents are up, with interest rate pressure described as moderate—this combination suggests a measured appreciation environment supported by rental demand and local economic strength.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

5815 N Saguaro Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

15 beds
2 baths
4,308 sqft
$32,500,000
Mar 1, 2026
$7,544/sqft/sqft
508 days on market
6305 E Mcdonald Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
11.67 baths
13,153 sqft
$32,500,000
Apr 1, 2026
$2,471/sqft/sqft
5641 N Casa Blanca Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

7 beds
7.33 baths
9,024 sqft
$20,900,000
Apr 1, 2026
$2,316/sqft/sqft
378 days on market
4441 E Maderos Del Cuenta Dr, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
5.33 baths
5,001 sqft
$4,500,000
Apr 1, 2026
$900/sqft/sqft
1514 days on market
5828 E Cactus Wren Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,588 sqft
$4,400,000
Apr 1, 2026
$1,700/sqft/sqft
556 days on market
8901 N 58th Pl, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds
6 baths
5,841 sqft
$4,400,000
Apr 1, 2026
$753/sqft/sqft
241 days on market
5658 N Scottsdale Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
2,128 sqft
$1,410,000
Apr 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
65 days on market
5682 N Scottsdale Rd, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,065 sqft
$1,345,000
Mar 1, 2026
$651/sqft/sqft
442 days on market

Paradise Valley, AZ 85253 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85253
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
193
Active Listings
42
Sold Properties
151

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$779,000
Median Sold Price
$1,289,000
Median Price per Sqft
$461/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,250

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.25%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
428
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The most reliable indicator of current market value is the median sold price of 1,289,000, which reflects recent transaction activity and suggests a high-end pricing environment up relative to listed asking dynamics.

  2. Price momentum shows a median sold price of 1,289,000 in a market where the price year-over-year trend is up; combined with a neutral market temperature, this suggests measured appreciation without extreme overheating.

  3. There is a pronounced gap between the median listing price of 779,000 and the median sold price of 1,289,000, which may indicate listing mix differences or pricing dispersion across product tiers and appears to introduce pricing friction between seller expectations and representative recent sales.

  4. Liquidity appears slow relative to typical luxury-market turnover: the median days on market of 428 points to extended marketing timelines and slower sales velocity, while the sample indicates relatively constrained active supply that may be supporting sustained sold prices despite longer time-on-market dynamics.

  5. Rental fundamentals are supportive: the median market rent of 2,250 and a rent year-over-year trend that is up suggest healthy demand for available units, which can underpin investor interest and provide downside support to prices amid moderate interest rate pressure.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

6587 N Palmeraie Blvd Unit 1050, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
4.33 baths
2,959 sqft
$6,480,000
Apr 1, 2026
$2,190/sqft/sqft
315 days on market
6587 N Palmeraie Blvd Unit 1053, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
4.33 baths
3,995 sqft
$5,395,000
Feb 1, 2026
$1,350/sqft/sqft
6587 N Palmeraie Blvd Unit 3022, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
4.33 baths
2,959 sqft
$5,195,000
Feb 1, 2026
$1,756/sqft/sqft
6940 E Cochise Rd Unit 1012, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2.67 baths
1,618 sqft
$525,000
Mar 1, 2026
$324/sqft/sqft
2546 days on market
7027 N Scottsdale Rd Unit 251, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2.33 baths
1,266 sqft
$517,000
Apr 1, 2026
$408/sqft/sqft
2965 days on market
7027 N Scottsdale Rd Unit 237, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2.33 baths
1,472 sqft
$510,000
Apr 1, 2026
$346/sqft/sqft
2153 days on market
9990 N Scottsdale Rd Apt 3025, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
679 sqft
$246,000
Apr 1, 2026
$362/sqft/sqft
754 days on market
7008 E Gold Dust Ave Apt 136, Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
638 sqft
$243,000
Apr 1, 2026
$381/sqft/sqft
279 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$19,153/mo
85253 Avg Rent
85253 Cost to Own
Rent$1,850
Own$21,003

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.2% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85253 Avg nightly rate
85253 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$166/night
Occupancy118 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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