GemHausNew report

Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$467K

The median listing price in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85203 is $467,000 as of July 2026.

Median rent
$1,288/mo

The median market rent in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85203 is $1,288/month as of July 2026.

Days on market
55 days

The median days on market in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85203 is 55 days as of July 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.31%

At a median list price of $467,000 and a median rent of $1,288/month, the gross rental yield in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85203 is 3.31% as of July 2026.

STR vs LTR
$757/mo STR · $1,288/mo LTR

In Mesa, AZ ZIP 85203, median Airbnb revenue is $757/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,288/month as of July 2026.

Mesa, AZ 85203 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85203

Report Date: July 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
126
Active Listings
58
Sold Properties
68

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$467,000
Median Sold Price
$520,000
Median Price per Sqft
$265/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,288

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.32%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
55
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
flat
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates for properties in Mesa AZ 85203 are averaging 6.88%, reflecting a high-rate environment compared to earlier 2026 market benchmarks.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the median sold price of 520,000, which reflects recent completed transactions and positions current market value above asking benchmarks in the sample, suggesting pricing pressure from closed deals rather than list-side expectations.
  2. Despite a higher median listing price of 467,000, transaction activity shows a pricing gap that may indicate seller expectations exceeding realized sale outcomes; this pricing friction appears in a market that is otherwise stable on headline trends.
  3. Liquidity is muted with a median days on market of 55, which signals slower sales velocity compared with frenzied conditions and may indicate buyers are pacing decisions under elevated financing costs.
  4. Broader market context shows price year-over-year trend is flat and market temperature is neutral, while interest rate pressure is elevated (current 30-year fixed ~6.88%), a combination that suggests a balanced market where affordability constraints, not lack of demand, are tempering transaction volume.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1716 E Melrose St, Mesa, AZ 85203
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds5.67 baths4,235 sqft
$1,800,000
Jun 1, 2026
$425/sqft
424 E Lehi Rd, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds5 baths5,493 sqft
$1,580,000
May 1, 2026
$288/sqft
1741 E Glencove St, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2 baths2,128 sqft
$555,000
Jul 1, 2026
$261/sqft
1 days on market
1335 E Granada St, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2.67 baths2,139 sqft
$520,000
Jun 1, 2026
$243/sqft
855 E 7th St, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2.67 baths2,019 sqft
$510,000
Jun 1, 2026
$253/sqft
1762 N Barkley, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds3 baths2,129 sqft
$497,500
Jul 1, 2026
$234/sqft
148 days on market
1924 N Harris Dr, Mesa, AZ 85203
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths2,585 sqft
$478,500
May 1, 2026
$185/sqft
1 days on market
834 E Fountain St Apt 4, Mesa, AZ 85203
Value

Below-market acquisition. Investor purchase with value-add potential through renovation.

- beds1.67 baths1,152 sqft
$240,000
May 1, 2026
$208/sqft
1 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,654/mo
85203 Avg Rent
85203 Cost to Own
Rent$1,288
Own$2,942

20% down, 6.58% rate, 0.3% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85203 Avg nightly rate
85203 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$143/night
Occupancy215 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 7/24/2026

GemHaus

Get personalized market intelligence

Analyze properties in Mesa, AZ with valuations, rental estimates, highest-and-best-use signals, and operating costs.

Nearby Market Reports