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Phoenix, AZ 85042 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85042
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of March 2026, the median sold price in Phoenix, AZ (ZIP: 85042) stands at $425,000, reflecting a market that has seen a transition toward balance. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, indicating a softening trend in home values. This decline in sold prices, coupled with a median listing price of $514,500, suggests a notable pricing gap that may create friction for sellers as they adjust expectations to align with buyer sentiment.

Market activity is characterized by elevated inventory levels, with a median days on market of 210, indicating a slower sales velocity. The current market temperature is described as neutral, suggesting a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. Elevated interest rate pressure, currently around 6.375%, may further temper buyer activity, influencing overall liquidity in the market.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
201
Active Listings
79
Sold Properties
122

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$514,500
Median Sold Price
$425,000
Median Price per Sqft
$239/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,716

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.52%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
210
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Phoenix area around 6.375% are lower than some 2026 origination rates reported near 6.73%, suggesting a potential cost advantage for recent borrowers.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $425,000 indicates a decrease in home values, down 8% since 2022.

  2. With a median listing price of $514,500, there is a significant pricing gap that may create friction for sellers.

  3. A median days on market of 210 reflects slower sales velocity, suggesting that properties are taking longer to sell.

  4. The market temperature is currently neutral, indicating a balanced environment for buyers and sellers.

  5. Elevated interest rate pressure may continue to temper buyer activity, impacting overall market liquidity.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2415 E Winston Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
6.33 baths
7,065 sqft
$1,840,000
Feb 1, 2026
$260/sqft/sqft
1649 days on market
3903 E Melody Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
5 baths
4,485 sqft
$1,250,000
Mar 1, 2026
$279/sqft/sqft
313 days on market
8606 S 30th St, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
5.67 baths
4,005 sqft
$1,135,000
Mar 1, 2026
$283/sqft/sqft
419 days on market
2630 E Beautiful Ln, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
2 baths
1,218 sqft
$406,000
Feb 1, 2026
$333/sqft/sqft
3940 E Minton St, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,445 sqft
$405,000
Mar 1, 2026
$280/sqft/sqft
175 days on market
1210 E Beth Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.33 baths
1,984 sqft
$400,000
Feb 1, 2026
$202/sqft/sqft
111 days on market
3910 E Carson Rd, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,766 sqft
$2,700
Mar 1, 2026
$2/sqft/sqft
86 days on market
6827 S 39th Pl, Phoenix, AZ 85042
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,766 sqft
$1,800
Feb 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
2265 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/31/2026

GemHaus

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