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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$448K

The median listing price in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85015 is $448,450 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,195/mo

The median market rent in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85015 is $1,195/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
307 days

The median days on market in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85015 is 307 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.20%

At a median list price of $448,450 and a median rent of $1,195/month, the gross rental yield in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85015 is 3.20% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,602/mo STR · $1,195/mo LTR

In Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85015, median Airbnb revenue is $2,602/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,195/month as of June 2026.

Phoenix, AZ 85015 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85015
Report Date: June 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
181
Active Listings
67
Sold Properties
114

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$448,450
Median Sold Price
$297,000
Median Price per Sqft
$251/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,195

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.38%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
307
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of market value is the median sold price of 297,000, which anchors recent transaction activity and suggests realized market value is materially below asking levels in the sample dataset.

  2. There is noticeable pricing friction between the median listing price of 448,450 and the median sold price, which may indicate persistent seller expectations above what buyers are paying and downward pressure on offers.

  3. Market liquidity is slow as reflected by the long median days on market of 307, which suggests slower sales velocity and increased time required to convert listings into closed transactions.

  4. Rent and pricing trends are soft: the median market rent is 1,195 with a down rent year-over-year trend, and broader price direction is also down, while market temperature remains neutral and interest rate pressure is elevated, signaling caution for levered buyers and investors.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

6210 N 15th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
4,119 sqft
$1,580,000
Apr 1, 2026
$384/sqft/sqft
298 days on market
1723 W Heatherbrae Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
1 baths
924 sqft
$1,285,822
Mar 1, 2026
$1,392/sqft/sqft
1841 W Fairmount Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
- baths
1,846 sqft
$1,100,000
Mar 1, 2026
$596/sqft/sqft
1829 W Fairmount Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,009 sqft
$400,000
Mar 1, 2026
$199/sqft/sqft
185 days on market
1941 W Whitton Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,200 sqft
$400,000
Mar 1, 2026
$333/sqft/sqft
3790 days on market
1710 W Claremont St, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,437 sqft
$400,000
Apr 1, 2026
$164/sqft/sqft
284 days on market
2130 W Mitchell Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
1.67 baths
1,323 sqft
$230,000
Apr 1, 2026
$174/sqft/sqft
4134 N 22nd Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
677 sqft
$130,000
Mar 1, 2026
$192/sqft/sqft
293 days on market

Phoenix, AZ 85015 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85015
Report Date: June 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
139
Active Listings
25
Sold Properties
114

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$189,900
Median Sold Price
$179,900
Median Price per Sqft
$175/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,149

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.26%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
1130
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is $179,900 as the median sold price, which represents the most reliable signal of recent transaction activity and suggests realized pricing is below asking levels in the sample. neutral market temperature supports treating recent sales as the best evidence of value rather than listing ambitions.

  2. The 1,130 median days on market points to materially slower sales velocity and longer listing-to-sale timelines, which may indicate pricing friction and that sellers should expect extended marketing periods before achieving a representative recent sale. down price year-over-year trend corroborates softer realized prices.

  3. The $189,900 median listing price shows seller expectations are higher than recent transactions, creating a visible gap between asking and achieved prices that may require price adjustments or concessions to reaccelerate movement. pricing friction appears present between listing asks and closed sales.

  4. The $1,149 median market rent and 175 median price per square foot indicate valuation and rent levels that are under modest downward pressure; combined with elevated interest rate pressure and a down rent year-over-year trend, investors should be cautious on near-term yield assumptions and stress-test financing scenarios.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2150 W Missouri Ave Apt 101, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

- beds
2 baths
980 sqft
$650,000
May 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
2150 W Missouri Ave Apt 213, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2 baths
980 sqft
$650,000
May 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
144 days on market
2150 W Missouri Ave Apt 214, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
2 baths
980 sqft
$650,000
May 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
1673 W Hazelwood St, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
1.67 baths
1,408 sqft
$239,900
Mar 1, 2026
$170/sqft/sqft
831 days on market
4776 N 20th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
1.67 baths
1,260 sqft
$232,500
Mar 1, 2026
$185/sqft/sqft
202 days on market
2051 W Elm St, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

4 beds
1.67 baths
1,704 sqft
$231,000
May 1, 2026
$136/sqft/sqft
2558 days on market
2150 W Missouri Ave Apt 120, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
1 baths
448 sqft
$110,000
Apr 1, 2026
$246/sqft/sqft
411 days on market
1702 W Tuckey Ln Unit 231, Phoenix, AZ 85015
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
863 sqft
$102,500
Apr 1, 2026
$119/sqft/sqft
166 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$486/mo
85015 Avg Rent
85015 Cost to Own
Rent$1,195
Own$1,681

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85015 Avg nightly rate
85015 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$179/night
Occupancy179 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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