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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$452K

The median listing price in Lake Monticello, VA ZIP 22902 is $452,450 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,995/mo

The median market rent in Lake Monticello, VA ZIP 22902 is $1,995/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
360 days

The median days on market in Lake Monticello, VA ZIP 22902 is 360 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
5.29%

At a median list price of $452,450 and a median rent of $1,995/month, the gross rental yield in Lake Monticello, VA ZIP 22902 is 5.29% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,510/mo STR · $1,995/mo LTR

In Lake Monticello, VA ZIP 22902, median Airbnb revenue is $2,510/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,995/month as of June 2026.

Lake Monticello, VA 22902 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 22902

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
108
Active Listings
62
Sold Properties
46

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$452,450
Median Sold Price
$456,500
Median Price per Sqft
$271/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,995

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.54%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
360
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. 456,500 is the neighborhood's median sold price and serves as the primary indicator of current market value and recent transaction activity; this level, combined with a median listing price of 452,450, suggests seller expectations are roughly aligned with recent closed transactions (representative recent sale).
  2. The market shows slower liquidity with a median days on market of 360, which may indicate longer marketing times and greater pricing friction for sellers rather than immediate turnover (down in price year-over-year supports softer conditions).
  3. Pricing intensity at the property level is moderate with a median price per square foot of 271, which should be used as a benchmark for comparative valuation when underwriting listings or offers in this area (neutral market temperature).
  4. Rental market signals diverge from sales: median market rent is 1,995 and rent year-over-year trend is up, while interest rate pressure is elevated; investors should weigh rising rents against higher financing costs and slower sales velocity when assessing buy-and-hold opportunities.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2010 Milton Rd, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds2 baths2,814 sqft
$2,900,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,031/sqft/sqft
3853 days on market
2940 Milton Village Ln, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds4 baths4,791 sqft
$1,940,000
Apr 1, 2026
$405/sqft/sqft
280 days on market
3991 Carters Mountain Rd, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2 baths1,296 sqft
$975,000
Mar 1, 2026
$752/sqft/sqft
322 days on market
3088 Horizon Rd, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds3 baths1,760 sqft
$495,000
Mar 1, 2026
$281/sqft/sqft
432 days on market
2105 Avinity Loop, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds3 baths2,268 sqft
$480,000
Mar 1, 2026
$212/sqft/sqft
4121 days on market
2868 Sweetbay St, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds3 baths1,872 sqft
$479,900
Mar 1, 2026
$256/sqft/sqft
558 days on market
1467 Harris Creek Rd, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds1 baths818 sqft
$200,000
Apr 1, 2026
$244/sqft/sqft
360 days on market
1546 Thomas Jefferson Pkwy, Charlottesville, VA 22902
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds1 baths1,092 sqft
$171,500
Mar 1, 2026
$157/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$652/mo
22902 Avg Rent
22902 Cost to Own
Rent$1,995
Own$2,647

20% down, 6.50% rate, 0.5% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

22902 Avg nightly rate
22902 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$213/night
Occupancy133 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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