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Ashburn, VA 20147 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 20147
Report Date: April 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of April 2026, the real estate market in Ashburn, VA is characterized by a median sold price of $734,000, reflecting a stable market environment. The neighborhood has increased 15% since 2023, indicating a positive trend in property values. Despite a median listing price of $4,925, the gap between listing and sold prices suggests that sellers may need to adjust expectations to align with buyer sentiment, especially given the current market dynamics.

Transaction activity shows moderate sales velocity, with 188 median days on market indicating slower turnover compared to previous periods. The market temperature remains neutral, suggesting a balance between supply and demand, although elevated inventory levels may lead to pricing friction for sellers. Overall, while demand remains robust, the current conditions may require strategic pricing and marketing efforts to facilitate sales in this evolving landscape.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
138
Active Listings
52
Sold Properties
86

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$4,925
Median Sold Price
$734,000
Median Price per Sqft
$323/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,530
Rent Range
$2,020 - $3,010

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.88%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
188
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $734,000 reflects a strong market trend, having increased 15% since 2023.

  2. With a median days on market of 188, properties are experiencing slower sales velocity, indicating potential pricing challenges.

  3. The median listing price of $4,925 suggests a significant gap between seller expectations and buyer willingness, which may require adjustments.

  4. Inventory levels are elevated, leading to excess supply relative to sales activity, which could impact future pricing strategies.

  5. Rental demand shows mixed signals, with median market rent at $2,530, remaining significantly above the national average despite a down trend year-over-year.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

20304 Northpark Dr, Ashburn, VA 20147
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
4,248 sqft
$1,725,000
Mar 1, 2026
$406/sqft/sqft
76 days on market
20857 Ashburn Rd, Ashburn, VA 20147
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
3,944 sqft
$1,685,000
Mar 1, 2026
$427/sqft/sqft
229 days on market
20588 Wild Meadow Ct, Ashburn, VA 20147
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
4 baths
3,679 sqft
$1,500,000
Jan 1, 2026
$408/sqft/sqft
205 days on market
44397 Oakmont Manor Sq, Ashburn, VA 20147
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
3 baths
2,118 sqft
$725,000
Mar 1, 2026
$342/sqft/sqft
54 days on market
20956 Hollyberry Ct, Ashburn, VA 20147
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
1,988 sqft
$725,000
Mar 1, 2026
$365/sqft/sqft
54 days on market
21555 Trowbridge Sq, Ashburn, VA 20147
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,620 sqft
$722,000
Mar 1, 2026
$276/sqft/sqft
43722 Clear Lake Sq, Ashburn, VA 20147
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
3 baths
1,605 sqft
$2,500
Mar 1, 2026
$2/sqft/sqft
810 days on market
20402 Cool Fern Sq, Ashburn, VA 20147
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
3 baths
1,376 sqft
$1,000
Feb 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
809 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 4/1/2026

GemHaus

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