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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$998K

The median listing price in Austin, TX ZIP 78738 is $998,499.5 as of July 2026.

Median rent
$3,800/mo

The median market rent in Austin, TX ZIP 78738 is $3,800/month as of July 2026.

Days on market
93 days

The median days on market in Austin, TX ZIP 78738 is 93 days as of July 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
4.57%

At a median list price of $998,499.5 and a median rent of $3,800/month, the gross rental yield in Austin, TX ZIP 78738 is 4.57% as of July 2026.

Austin, TX 78738 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 78738

Report Date: July 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
180 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
114
Active Listings
111
Sold Properties
3

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$998,500
Median Sold Price
$1,789,415
Median Price per Sqft
$285/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,800

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.36%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
93
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Austin, TX are averaging approximately 6.5% as of July 2026, reflecting a stable but elevated interest rate environment compared to earlier 2026 benchmarks.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the median sold price of 1,789,415, which reflects recent transaction activity and should be treated as the most reliable signal of local market value for SFR and condominium properties in ZIP 78738. representative recent sale
  2. There is a meaningful divergence between the median listing price of 998,500 and the median sold price of 1,789,415, which may indicate pricing friction or that sellers’ asking strategies differ from transaction prices rather than implying a uniform market shift; monitor further closings to confirm direction. flat pricing environment
  3. Market velocity shows slower sales: the median days on market is 93, which suggests reduced liquidity and slower transaction turnover even as broader indicators show a neutral market temperature; this slower velocity may lengthen negotiation timelines. slower sales velocity
  4. Macro and demand context is mixed—price year-over-year trend is flat while rent year-over-year trend is down, and interest rate pressure is elevated with current 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaging approximately 6.5% as of July 2026; together these signals suggest a balanced but cautious market where higher financing costs may constrain affordability and keep inventory elevated relative to sales activity. elevated interest rate pressure

Notable Properties

The following 4 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

7100 Destiny Hills Dr, Austin, TX 78738
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds2.5 baths3,399 sqft
$1,400,000
May 1, 2026
$412/sqft/sqft
5300 Great Divide Dr, Bee Cave, TX 78738
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds4 baths3,776 sqft
$1,315,646
Mar 1, 2026
$348/sqft/sqft
5404 Castana Bnd, Austin, TX 78738
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds4 baths3,644 sqft
$535,000
May 1, 2026
$147/sqft/sqft
3700 days on market
5404 Castana Bnd, Austin, TX 78738
Value

Sold below market average

5 beds4 baths3,644 sqft
$535,000
May 1, 2026
$147/sqft/sqft
3700 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$7,785/mo
78738 Avg Rent
78738 Cost to Own
Rent$3,800
Own$11,585

20% down, 6.49% rate, 1.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

78738 Avg nightly rate
78738 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$208/night
Occupancy157 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 7/10/2026

GemHaus

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