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Memphis, TN 38128 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 38128
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
188
Active Listings
104
Sold Properties
84

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$134,950
Median Sold Price
$138,000
Median Price per Sqft
$96/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,265

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.51%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
222
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Memphis 38128 area are 6.3%, reflecting a market where rates have fluctuated significantly throughout 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of market value is the median sold price: 138,000, which anchors recent transaction activity and should be the focal point for pricing decisions; note that broader price momentum is down, so underwritings and listing strategies should reference the 138,000 transaction benchmark.

  2. The gap between the median listing price (134,950) and the median sold price (138,000) suggests sellers are pricing competitively relative to recorded transactions; this dynamic appears to reduce listing-to-sale friction and can inform modestly aggressive offer strategies for buyers seeking value.

  3. Liquidity is constrained by slower sales velocity: the median days on market is 222, indicating prolonged marketing periods and declining turnover; sellers should expect longer exposures and consider targeted improvements or pricing flexibility to accelerate closings.

  4. Market context shows elevated interest rate pressure and soft rental trends—current local mortgage pricing is reported at 6.3% and rent year-over-year trend is down; combined with a median price per square foot of 96.44 and median market rent of 1,265, investors should prioritize cashflow sensitivity and stress-test financing assumptions before committing to acquisitions.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3402 Warford St, Memphis, TN 38128
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2 baths
2,200 sqft
$300,000
Mar 1, 2026
$136/sqft/sqft
3488 Woodwind Dr, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds
3 baths
2,874 sqft
$250,000
Mar 1, 2026
$87/sqft/sqft
3621 Royal Wood Dr, Memphis, TN 38128
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
1 baths
948 sqft
$245,000
Mar 1, 2026
$258/sqft/sqft
256 days on market
3457 E Rolling Woods Dr, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
2,216 sqft
$130,000
Apr 1, 2026
$59/sqft/sqft
200 days on market
4188 Time St, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1 baths
960 sqft
$130,000
Feb 1, 2026
$135/sqft/sqft
1157 days on market
4315 Appian Cv, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
948 sqft
$126,500
Apr 1, 2026
$133/sqft/sqft
3420 Gladstone Cv, Memphis, TN 38128
Value

Below-market acquisition. Investor purchase with value-add potential through renovation.

3 beds
1 baths
1,364 sqft
$85,000
Apr 1, 2026
$62/sqft/sqft
14 days on market
3742 Berry Ln, Memphis, TN 38128
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
882 sqft
$50,000
Apr 1, 2026
$57/sqft/sqft
367 days on market

Memphis, TN 38128 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 38128
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
88
Active Listings
4
Sold Properties
84

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$107,000
Median Sold Price
$87,900
Median Price per Sqft
$107/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$829

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.50%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
302
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Memphis 38128 area are 6.3%, reflecting a market where rates have fluctuated significantly throughout 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's primary market value indicator, median sold price, is 87,900, reflecting recent transaction levels and aligning with a cooling trend; down year-over-year price momentum suggests sellers should set realistic pricing expectations.

  2. Liquidity appears slow: the median days on market is 302, which, when considered alongside a relatively constrained active supply in the analyzed sample, suggests slower sales velocity and potential pricing friction for sellers.

  3. Unit-level valuation is modest with a median price per square foot of 107, and rental support is weakening — median market rent is 829 with rents down year-over-year — indicating limited near-term upside from rent growth for investors.

  4. Financing conditions are a headwind: interest rate pressure is elevated and local 30-year fixed mortgage rates are around 6.3%, which may dampen buyer demand and extend time-to-contract; under these conditions, conservative pricing and longer marketing timelines should be planned.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3084 Taransay Rd, Memphis, TN 38128
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
2 baths
1,723 sqft
$124,179
Dec 1, 2025
$72/sqft/sqft
3090 Taransay Rd, Memphis, TN 38128
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,723 sqft
$107,000
Jan 1, 2026
$62/sqft/sqft
3661 Haughton Ln Apt 1, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,612 sqft
$84,000
Apr 1, 2026
$52/sqft/sqft
449 days on market
3655 Haughton Ln Apt 2, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,876 sqft
$82,000
Dec 1, 2025
$44/sqft/sqft
224 days on market
3637 Haughton Ln Apt 2, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,626 sqft
$80,000
Jan 1, 2026
$49/sqft/sqft
954 days on market
3589 Covington Pike Apt 214, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

1 beds
1 baths
589 sqft
$60,000
Mar 1, 2026
$102/sqft/sqft
204 days on market
3589 Covington Pike Apt 407, Memphis, TN 38128
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

1 beds
1 baths
589 sqft
$57,500
Apr 1, 2026
$98/sqft/sqft
113 days on market
3589 Covington Pike Apt 402, Memphis, TN 38128
Value

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
589 sqft
$50,000
Nov 1, 2025
$85/sqft/sqft
302 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

$368/mo
38128 Avg Rent
38128 Cost to Own
Rent$1,265
Own$897

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.5% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

38128 Avg nightly rate
38128 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$143/night
Occupancy135 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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