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Miami Shores, FL 33138 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 33138
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

The median sold price in Miami Shores stands at $1,195,000, reflecting the actual market transactions and indicating a stable demand despite the current market conditions. The neighborhood has experienced a recalibration phase, with significant pricing gaps between median listing prices of $1,417,500 and sold prices, suggesting that accurate pricing is crucial for successful transactions. The market appears to be characterized by elevated inventory levels, which may indicate a slower sales velocity as buyers navigate through options and sellers adjust expectations accordingly.

In terms of market dynamics, the median days on market is notably high at 357 days, which points to a slower transaction volume and potential pricing friction. The overall market temperature is neutral, suggesting a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. This scenario, coupled with a moderate interest rate pressure, may lead to a cautious approach among potential buyers, further influencing the liquidity in the market.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
268
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
168

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$1,417,500
Median Sold Price
$1,195,000
Median Price per Sqft
$609/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,530
Rent Range
$1,923 - $2,997

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.24%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
357
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates near 5.99% in Miami Shores FL are slightly lower than the recent 2026 average of 6.18%, indicating a minor cost advantage for new financing.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $1,195,000 indicates stable market demand despite elevated inventory levels.

  2. With a median listing price of $1,417,500, there is a significant gap that suggests pricing friction may be affecting sales.

  3. The median days on market at 357 days reflects a slower sales velocity, indicating potential challenges in closing transactions.

  4. Market temperature remains neutral, suggesting a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers have a distinct advantage.

  5. The median market rent is $2,530, which shows an upward trend, indicating growing rental demand in the area.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

7305 Belle Meade Island Dr, Miami, FL 33138
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
7 baths
5,805 sqft
$8,295,000
Jan 1, 2026
$1,429/sqft/sqft
1593 days on market
928 Belle Meade Island Dr, Miami, FL 33138
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
3,150 sqft
$6,400,000
Jan 1, 2026
$2,032/sqft/sqft
374 days on market
309 Ne 99th St, Miami Shores, FL 33138
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
5 baths
5,119 sqft
$5,995,000
Jan 1, 2026
$1,171/sqft/sqft
241 days on market
8835 Ne 9th Ct, Miami, FL 33138
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
2,489 sqft
$999,990
Jan 1, 2026
$402/sqft/sqft
116 days on market
133 Ne 99th St, Miami Shores, FL 33138
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,956 sqft
$999,900
Jan 1, 2026
$511/sqft/sqft
414 days on market
746 Ne 67th St, Miami, FL 33138
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
1 baths
1,352 sqft
$997,000
Jan 1, 2026
$737/sqft/sqft
357 days on market
8941 Ne 10th Ave, Miami, FL 33138
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,473 sqft
$2,700
Jan 1, 2026
$2/sqft/sqft
3883 days on market
136 Ne 83rd St, Miami, FL 33138
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
814 sqft
$1,490
Jan 1, 2026
$2/sqft/sqft
2425 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/7/2026

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