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Aliso Viejo, CA 92656 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 92656
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of March 2026, the real estate market in Aliso Viejo is characterized by a median sold price of $1,349,500, reflecting a cooling trend with year-over-year price declines. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, indicating a shift in market dynamics. While the median listing price stands at $1,299,500, the gap between listing and sold prices may suggest some pricing friction as sellers adjust expectations in response to changing market conditions.

The market is experiencing elevated inventory levels, with median days on market reaching 293 days, indicating slower sales velocity. This extended time frame for properties on the market, combined with elevated interest rates, may pressure affordability and contribute to a more balanced market environment. Despite these challenges, the median market rent of $4,330 shows an upward trend, suggesting that rental demand remains robust even as sales activity moderates.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
38
Active Listings
18
Sold Properties
20

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$1,299,500
Median Sold Price
$1,349,500
Median Price per Sqft
$653/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$4,330
Rent Range
$3,190 - $5,070

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.01%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
293
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Aliso Viejo CA market average around 6.22% to 6.875%, which is higher than the 2025 average of approximately 6.66%, suggesting property owners locked in a more favorable rate last year.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $1,349,500 indicates a significant adjustment in market value, reflecting a decrease of 8% since 2022.

  2. With median days on market at 293, properties are taking longer to sell, suggesting slower sales velocity in the current environment.

  3. The median listing price of $1,299,500 is closely aligned with the sold price, indicating potential pricing friction as sellers adjust to market realities.

  4. Elevated inventory levels relative to sales activity may lead to excess supply, impacting future pricing strategies.

  5. Despite the cooling sales market, the median market rent is up to $4,330, indicating a strong rental demand that may provide stability in the overall market.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1 Tularosa Ct, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
5 baths
4,200 sqft
$3,550,000
Jan 1, 2026
$845/sqft/sqft
110 days on market
75 Rockrose, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Premium

Sold above market average

7 beds
5 baths
3,134 sqft
$2,299,000
Jan 1, 2026
$734/sqft/sqft
244 days on market
24 Sunswept Mesa, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
3 baths
3,083 sqft
$2,298,000
Dec 1, 2025
$745/sqft/sqft
389 days on market
32 Rockrose, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
2 baths
2,248 sqft
$1,638,886
Jan 1, 2026
$729/sqft/sqft
290 days on market
2 Silkwood, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,877 sqft
$1,499,999
Jan 1, 2026
$799/sqft/sqft
97 days on market
6 Plateau, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
1,830 sqft
$1,488,888
Jan 1, 2026
$814/sqft/sqft
133 days on market
149 Abbeywood Ln, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,174 sqft
$750,000
Jan 1, 2026
$639/sqft/sqft
123 days on market
23485 Via Jacinto, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,240 sqft
$720,000
Dec 1, 2025
$581/sqft/sqft
265 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/23/2026

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