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Aliso Viejo, CA 92656 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 92656
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
61
Active Listings
39
Sold Properties
22

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$1,407,500
Median Sold Price
$1,287,000
Median Price per Sqft
$680/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,312

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.61%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
308
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
flat
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Aliso Viejo are averaging 6.52%, which is 0.65% higher than the 5.87% market average observed in February 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator of recent market value is the $1,287,000 median sold price, which points to realized transaction levels that are meaningfully below the $1,407,500 median listing price, suggesting a gap between asking expectations and closed sale prices that may indicate pricing friction for sellers.

  2. Pricing momentum is positive: the market shows up price trends alongside a $680 median price per square foot, which supports continued mild appreciation but also implies premium pricing relative to comparable submarkets.

  3. Liquidity appears slower on a velocity basis: the median days on market of 308 indicates extended marketing periods and suggests moderate transaction velocity rather than rapid turnover, even as overall demand metrics remain serviceable.

  4. Financing and carrying-cost pressure is a material headwind—elevated interest-rate pressure is reflected in local borrowing costs (current 30‑year fixed mortgage rates averaging 6.52%, per local comparison), which may constrain some buyer budgets and lengthen time-to-contract; rental benchmarks (median market rent $3,312) provide contextual support for holding value but do not offset rate impacts.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2 Sunswept Mesa, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
3,541 sqft
$2,515,000
Apr 1, 2026
$710/sqft/sqft
149 days on market
23 Blue Jay Dr, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
2,240 sqft
$2,000,000
Apr 1, 2026
$893/sqft/sqft
60 days on market
7 Berkshire, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds
3 baths
2,692 sqft
$1,735,000
Feb 1, 2026
$645/sqft/sqft
2920 days on market
12 Sequoia Dr, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
2 baths
1,822 sqft
$1,355,000
Apr 1, 2026
$744/sqft/sqft
3324 days on market
14 Hawksmoor, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
3 baths
2,165 sqft
$1,325,500
Apr 1, 2026
$612/sqft/sqft
74 days on market
27 Royal Tern Ln, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,512 sqft
$1,325,000
Apr 1, 2026
$876/sqft/sqft
23392 Via Jacinto, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,240 sqft
$710,000
Apr 1, 2026
$573/sqft/sqft
36 days on market
23565 El Cerrito, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,240 sqft
$695,000
Mar 1, 2026
$560/sqft/sqft
113 days on market

Aliso Viejo, CA 92656 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 92656
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
49
Active Listings
27
Sold Properties
22

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$699,900
Median Sold Price
$788,800
Median Price per Sqft
$650/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,400

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.64%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
289
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
flat
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Aliso Viejo are averaging 6.52%, which is 0.65% higher than the 5.87% market average observed in February 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the median sold price $788,800, which represents the most reliable reflection of recent transaction activity in the area and should be the focal point for pricing and appraisal decisions.

  2. The median listing price $699,900 sits below the median sold price, which may indicate pricing friction or selective seller expectations; stakeholders should consider that the gap between median listing price and median sold price appears to affect negotiation dynamics.

  3. The market shows slower liquidity with a median days on market of 289, suggesting extended marketing times and lower sales velocity; this moderate to slow transaction pace may require sellers to set clearer differentiators or pricing concessions to expedite closings.

  4. Broader trend signals are mixed: price year-over-year is up while market temperature is neutral, and interest rate pressure is elevated (current 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaging 6.52%, 0.65% above the referenced market average), all of which suggests paced price appreciation under constrained supply and heightened financing sensitivity for buyers.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

30 Seven Kings Pl, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2 baths
1,957 sqft
$1,420,000
Feb 1, 2026
$726/sqft/sqft
120 days on market
29 Hulsea, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
3 baths
1,494 sqft
$1,375,000
Mar 1, 2026
$920/sqft/sqft
3971 days on market
17 Nopalitos Way, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

4 beds
2 baths
1,940 sqft
$1,368,000
Mar 1, 2026
$705/sqft/sqft
120 days on market
72 Sobrante, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,220 sqft
$840,000
Mar 1, 2026
$689/sqft/sqft
94 days on market
4 Las Flores Fl Ores, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,029 sqft
$840,000
Mar 1, 2026
$816/sqft/sqft
218 days on market
174 Trofello Ln, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,148 sqft
$835,000
Apr 1, 2026
$727/sqft/sqft
77 days on market
23412 Pacific Park Dr Unit 9h, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

1 beds
1 baths
762 sqft
$505,000
Mar 1, 2026
$663/sqft/sqft
4199 days on market
6 Heritage, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,220 sqft
$333,500
Apr 1, 2026
$273/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$4,091/mo
92656 Avg Rent
92656 Cost to Own
Rent$3,312
Own$7,403

20% down, 6.3% rate, 0.6% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

92656 Avg nightly rate
92656 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$251/night
Occupancy87 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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