GemHausNew report

Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$517K

The median listing price in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85021 is $517,450 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,295/mo

The median market rent in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85021 is $1,295/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
425 days

The median days on market in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85021 is 425 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.00%

At a median list price of $517,450 and a median rent of $1,295/month, the gross rental yield in Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85021 is 3.00% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$1,843/mo STR · $1,295/mo LTR

In Phoenix, AZ ZIP 85021, median Airbnb revenue is $1,843/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,295/month as of June 2026.

Phoenix, AZ 85021 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85021

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
182
Active Listings
54
Sold Properties
128

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$517,450
Median Sold Price
$354,500
Median Price per Sqft
$267/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,295

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.43%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
425
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the Phoenix 85021 area average approximately 6.6% as of June 2026, reflecting a period where market rates remain elevated compared to historical lows.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the $354,500 median sold price, which suggests recent transaction levels are concentrated well below the $517,450 median listing price and may indicate pricing friction between seller expectations and closed deals.
  2. The market shows slower sales velocity with a median days on market of 425, which may indicate longer listing periods and more time for negotiation before transactions complete.
  3. Price momentum is down year-over-year while market temperature is neutral, suggesting a broadly balanced market that nevertheless faces downward pricing pressure and elevated interest rate pressure (local 30‑year rates around 6.6%).
  4. Relative value signals: the $267 median price per square foot and $1,295 median market rent point to modest rental income levels versus sales prices, which may temper investor demand while owner-occupier activity appears to drive closed transactions.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1234 W Orchid Ln, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds4 baths3,737 sqft
$2,700,000
Mar 1, 2026
$723/sqft/sqft
670 days on market
733 W El Camino Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds4 baths4,724 sqft
$2,500,000
Apr 1, 2026
$529/sqft/sqft
365 days on market
523 W Vista Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds5 baths4,795 sqft
$2,425,000
Apr 1, 2026
$506/sqft/sqft
1837 days on market
1638 W Northern Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

4 beds2 baths1,881 sqft
$530,000
Apr 1, 2026
$282/sqft/sqft
2284 days on market
7333 N 17th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2 baths1,513 sqft
$519,000
Apr 1, 2026
$343/sqft/sqft
265 days on market
2119 W Belmont Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds2 baths2,315 sqft
$517,000
Mar 1, 2026
$223/sqft/sqft
121 days on market
2255 W Wagon Wheel Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds1.67 baths920 sqft
$219,500
Apr 1, 2026
$239/sqft/sqft
263 days on market
9822 N 4th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85021
Value

Sold below market average

- beds1 baths912 sqft
$215,000
Apr 1, 2026
$236/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$734/mo
85021 Avg Rent
85021 Cost to Own
Rent$1,295
Own$2,029

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85021 Avg nightly rate
85021 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$173/night
Occupancy123 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

GemHaus

Get personalized market intelligence

Explore real-time property analysis in Phoenix, AZ: valuations, rental estimates, costs, and pro-forma projections.

Nearby Market Reports