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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$642K

The median listing price in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85207 is $642,450 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$2,095/mo

The median market rent in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85207 is $2,095/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
277 days

The median days on market in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85207 is 277 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.91%

At a median list price of $642,450 and a median rent of $2,095/month, the gross rental yield in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85207 is 3.91% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$1,827/mo STR · $2,095/mo LTR

In Mesa, AZ ZIP 85207, median Airbnb revenue is $1,827/month compared to median long-term rent of $2,095/month as of June 2026.

Mesa, AZ 85207 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85207
Report Date: June 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
249
Active Listings
96
Sold Properties
153

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$642,450
Median Sold Price
$559,000
Median Price per Sqft
$282/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,095

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.40%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
277
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current market rates for 30-year fixed mortgages in Mesa, AZ, are averaging approximately 6.56%, reflecting the broader interest rate environment for property owners in this area.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's primary market value is represented by the median sold price 559,000, which serves as the most reliable indicator of recent transaction activity and suggests a stable baseline for valuation in this ZIP code; neutral market temperature supports a balanced interpretation of recent sales.

  2. The spread between the median listing price 642,450 and the median sold price 559,000 suggests pricing friction where seller expectations may exceed realized transaction prices and moderate pricing adjustment may be required to close offers.

  3. Market liquidity appears muted: the median days on market is 277, which indicates slower sales velocity and longer time-to-contract that may benefit buyers negotiating concessions while requiring sellers to be patient with pricing and terms; slower transaction volume.

  4. Rental and financing context is a headwind for near-term demand: median market rent is 2,095 and rent is trending down, while interest rate pressure is identified as elevated and current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are approximately 6.56%, which may continue to constrain affordability and dampen buyer urgency.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

3314 N 88th Pl, Mesa, AZ 85207
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

6 beds
8.33 baths
7,021 sqft
$2,900,000
Mar 1, 2026
$413/sqft/sqft
2403 days on market
7426 E Forest Trail Cir, Mesa, AZ 85207
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
6 baths
3,973 sqft
$2,400,000
Apr 1, 2026
$604/sqft/sqft
192 days on market
3226 N Piedra Cir, Mesa, AZ 85207
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
4.33 baths
4,894 sqft
$2,400,000
Mar 1, 2026
$490/sqft/sqft
8942 E Hobart St, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
3 baths
1,891 sqft
$596,000
Apr 1, 2026
$315/sqft/sqft
101 days on market
11515 E Ellis St, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
4 baths
2,572 sqft
$590,000
May 1, 2026
$229/sqft/sqft
332 days on market
2754 N Augustine, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
4 baths
2,475 sqft
$585,000
May 1, 2026
$236/sqft/sqft
3516 days on market
7006 E Jensen St Unit 159, Mesa, AZ 85207
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,086 sqft
$205,000
May 1, 2026
$189/sqft/sqft
8653 E University Dr, Mesa, AZ 85207
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,324 sqft
$190,000
Apr 1, 2026
$144/sqft/sqft

Mesa, AZ 85207 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85207
Report Date: June 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
163
Active Listings
10
Sold Properties
153

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$215,000
Median Sold Price
$170,000
Median Price per Sqft
$259/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,250

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.26%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
1852
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current market rates for 30-year fixed mortgages in Mesa, AZ, are averaging approximately 6.56%, reflecting the broader interest rate environment for property owners in this area.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. median sold price 170,000 anchors market value and suggests recent transactions are occurring well below typical asking levels; this gap between median listing price and median sold price may indicate pricing friction and recommends sellers align expectations to achieve quicker closes.

  2. median days on market 1,852 signals markedly slower sales velocity in the analyzed sample and suggests properties may require extended marketing or price adjustments to convert; prolonged time to contract should prompt sellers to reassess pricing or condition to improve liquidity.

  3. median listing price 215,000 compared with the median sold price highlights a meaningful spread that may present negotiation opportunities for buyers while cautioning sellers on optimistic pricing; representative recent sale analysis should be prioritized when setting offers or list prices.

  4. Market backdrop shows market temperature neutral with price year-over-year trend flat and rent year-over-year trend down, while interest rate pressure elevated (current 30-year mortgage context ~6.56%) — this combination suggests a balanced-to-buyer-favorable environment where cautious buyers can leverage slower velocity, and investors should factor softer rental momentum into acquisition underwriting; elevated interest rate pressure increases sensitivity to financing costs.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

7445 E Eagle Crest Dr Unit 1094, Mesa, AZ 85207
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
4.33 baths
2,460 sqft
$615,000
Apr 1, 2026
$250/sqft/sqft
3395 days on market
7445 E Eagle Crest Dr Unit 1034, Mesa, AZ 85207
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2.67 baths
1,652 sqft
$605,000
May 1, 2026
$366/sqft/sqft
2681 days on market
7445 E Eagle Crest Dr Unit 1015, Mesa, AZ 85207
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,834 sqft
$542,000
Apr 1, 2026
$296/sqft/sqft
288 days on market
205 N 74th St Unit 151, Mesa, AZ 85207
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2.33 baths
1,150 sqft
$247,000
Apr 1, 2026
$215/sqft/sqft
296 days on market
205 N 74th St Unit 110, Mesa, AZ 85207
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2.33 baths
1,150 sqft
$245,000
Apr 1, 2026
$213/sqft/sqft
348 days on market
145 N 74th St Unit 212, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
1.33 baths
873 sqft
$243,000
May 1, 2026
$278/sqft/sqft
111 days on market
234 N 75th St Apt 209, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

1 beds
1 baths
665 sqft
$176,806
Mar 1, 2026
$266/sqft/sqft
3261 days on market
205 N 74th St Unit 154, Mesa, AZ 85207
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
2.33 baths
1,342 sqft
$160,000
Mar 1, 2026
$119/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,092/mo
85207 Avg Rent
85207 Cost to Own
Rent$2,095
Own$3,187

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85207 Avg nightly rate
85207 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$161/night
Occupancy110 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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