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Mesa, AZ 85206 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85206
Report Date: April 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
231
Active Listings
111
Sold Properties
120

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$365,000
Median Sold Price
$374,500
Median Price per Sqft
$233/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,500
Rent Range
$1,820 - $2,840

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.39%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
207
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The primary market value indicator is the $374,500 median sold price, which represents the most reliable snapshot of recent transaction activity in the ZIP and suggests pricing is holding around that level; flat year-over-year price trend supports a stable pricing environment.

  2. The $365,000 median listing price sits slightly below the median sold price, which may indicate modest listing-to-sale price convergence and balanced seller expectations rather than aggressive premium pricing.

  3. The 207 median days on market signals notably slower sales velocity and suggests increased time required to transact; this longer marketing period may indicate pricing friction or more selective buyer activity in the current neutral market.

  4. With a down rent year-over-year trend and $2,500 median market rent, combined with elevated interest rate pressure, investors and occupiers should expect moderated rental growth and financing headwinds that could weigh on near-term demand and transaction urgency.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

4107 E Fairview Cir, Mesa, AZ 85206
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
3.33 baths
2,616 sqft
$1,080,000
Apr 1, 2026
$413/sqft/sqft
351 days on market
1849 S Recker Rd, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
4 baths
4,188 sqft
$902,000
Apr 1, 2026
$215/sqft/sqft
1204 S Arroya Cir, Mesa, AZ 85206
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3.33 baths
2,493 sqft
$705,000
Apr 1, 2026
$283/sqft/sqft
294 days on market
3829 E Holmes Ave, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
2.33 baths
1,501 sqft
$389,000
Apr 1, 2026
$259/sqft/sqft
552 S Rosemont, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,436 sqft
$389,000
Mar 1, 2026
$271/sqft/sqft
99 days on market
4036 E Clovis Cir, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,302 sqft
$389,000
Mar 1, 2026
$299/sqft/sqft
211 days on market
811 Leisure World, Mesa, AZ 85206
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
942 sqft
$179,000
Mar 1, 2026
$190/sqft/sqft
2215 days on market
542 S Higley Rd Unit 90, Mesa, AZ 85206
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
952 sqft
$135,000
Mar 1, 2026
$142/sqft/sqft
3693 days on market

Mesa, AZ 85206 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85206
Report Date: April 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
166
Active Listings
46
Sold Properties
120

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$269,900
Median Sold Price
$279,500
Median Price per Sqft
$218/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,820

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.39%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
393
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Key Findings

  1. The most reliable indicator of market value is the recent median sold price, which is 279,500, signaling the representative recent sale level for SFR and condo transactions in ZIP 85206; given the neutral market temperature, this sold-price anchor suggests price stability rather than directional acceleration. flat price trend

  2. There is a notable listing-to-sale price relationship where the median listing price is 269,900 versus the median sold price of 279,500, which may indicate pricing friction or seller expectations that differ from final transaction outcomes; use caution when underwriting comps and prioritize closed-sales evidence. balanced but watch for gaps

  3. Market liquidity appears slow: the median days on market is 393, which points to extended marketing time and slower sales velocity for listed SFR and condo inventory and may require more aggressive pricing or concession strategies to accelerate transactions. down in velocity

  4. Supply and demand context and macro pressure: the marketTemperature is neutral while interest rate pressure is elevated and rent year-over-year trend is down, a combination that suggests stable pricing but constrained upside and potential softness in rental growth — factor in higher financing costs when assessing buyer affordability and investor underwriting. elevated interest rate pressure


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1350 S Greenfield Rd Unit 1103, Mesa, AZ 85206
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
3 baths
1,750 sqft
$399,000
Apr 1, 2026
$228/sqft/sqft
227 days on market
1350 S Greenfield Rd Unit 1077, Mesa, AZ 85206
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,399 sqft
$370,000
Jan 1, 2026
$264/sqft/sqft
204 days on market
112 Leisure World, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2.33 baths
1,720 sqft
$369,000
Mar 1, 2026
$215/sqft/sqft
95 days on market
125 S 56th St Unit 4, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.67 baths
1,255 sqft
$265,000
Mar 1, 2026
$211/sqft/sqft
57 days on market
440 S Parkcrest Unit 103, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,306 sqft
$264,900
Mar 1, 2026
$203/sqft/sqft
105 days on market
4328 E Capri Ave Unit 194, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
990 sqft
$245,900
Jan 1, 2026
$248/sqft/sqft
219 days on market
28 Leisure World, Mesa, AZ 85206
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

1 beds
1.33 baths
924 sqft
$115,500
Mar 1, 2026
$125/sqft/sqft
4027 days on market
440 S Parkcrest Unit 141, Mesa, AZ 85206
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

1 beds
1 baths
767 sqft
$83,500
Mar 1, 2026
$109/sqft/sqft
3368 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

$376/mo
Avg Rent
Cost to Own
Rent$2,500
Own$2,124

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.4% tax

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 4/17/2026

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