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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$400K

The median listing price in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85206 is $400,000 as of July 2026.

Median rent
$1,614/mo

The median market rent in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85206 is $1,614/month as of July 2026.

Days on market
107 days

The median days on market in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85206 is 107 days as of July 2026. The market is currently cold.

Gross rental yield
4.84%

At a median list price of $400,000 and a median rent of $1,614/month, the gross rental yield in Mesa, AZ ZIP 85206 is 4.84% as of July 2026.

STR vs LTR
$754/mo STR · $1,614/mo LTR

In Mesa, AZ ZIP 85206, median Airbnb revenue is $754/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,614/month as of July 2026.

Mesa, AZ 85206 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85206

Report Date: July 2026

Market Temperature:
COLD

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
177
Active Listings
68
Sold Properties
109

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$400,000
Median Sold Price
$403,000
Median Price per Sqft
$246/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,614

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.40%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
107
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Cold market indicates weak buyer demand relative to available inventory, typically characterized by declining or flat prices, extended days on market, and elevated inventory levels relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
cold
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Mesa, AZ are averaging 6.6%, reflecting a market environment where rates have risen from earlier 2026 lows of approximately 6.1%.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator, the median sold price 403,000, suggests current transaction values are modestly below asking expectations and supports pricing strategies that prioritize realistic comps and seller concessions rather than aggressive list increases.
  2. The median days on market 107 points to slower sales velocity and may indicate the need for extended marketing windows, staged price reductions, or targeted buyer incentives to improve liquidity in this market.
  3. The median price per square foot 246 frames local unit-level valuation and suggests price sensitivity at the SKU level; price-per-foot alignment with comps should be emphasized in pricing to minimize time on market.
  4. With 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaging 6.6% and elevated interest rate pressure alongside a cold market temperature and down price year-over-year trend, prioritize buyer affordability moves (rate buydowns, flexible terms) and monitor rent declines when assessing hold vs. sell timing.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

4106 E Fairview Cir, Mesa, AZ 85206
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds5.33 baths4,152 sqft
$1,380,000
Jul 1, 2026
$332/sqft
1355 days on market
4647 E Garnet Cir, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

6 beds5 baths4,817 sqft
$1,225,000
Jun 1, 2026
$254/sqft
4221 E Emelita Ave, Mesa, AZ 85206
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds2 baths2,701 sqft
$950,000
Jun 1, 2026
$352/sqft
6510 E Arbor Ave, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2.33 baths1,402 sqft
$410,000
Jun 1, 2026
$292/sqft
171 days on market
441 S Maple Unit 162, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2.67 baths1,791 sqft
$407,000
Jul 1, 2026
$227/sqft
86 days on market
3755 E Broadway Rd Unit 96, Mesa, AZ 85206
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds2.33 baths1,478 sqft
$405,000
May 1, 2026
$274/sqft
730 S Portland, Mesa, AZ 85206
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2 baths1,630 sqft
$200,000
May 1, 2026
$123/sqft
178 days on market
789 Leisure World, Mesa, AZ 85206
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds2 baths1,197 sqft
$185,000
May 1, 2026
$155/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$692/mo
85206 Avg Rent
85206 Cost to Own
Rent$1,614
Own$2,306

20% down, 6.58% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85206 Avg nightly rate
85206 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$144/night
Occupancy217 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 7/12/2026

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