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Phoenix, AZ 85086 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85086
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
264
Active Listings
105
Sold Properties
159

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$663,000
Median Sold Price
$589,000
Median Price per Sqft
$273/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,295

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.50%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
225
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator is the median sold price of $589,000, which represents the most reliable signal of realized market value in 85086 and should drive valuation and underwriting decisions more than asking prices.

  2. There is a notable spread between the median listing price of $663,000 and the median sold price of $589,000, which suggests pricing friction and that seller expectations may be above recent transaction levels; this gap may indicate the need for sellers to price more competitively to achieve close-to-list outcomes.

  3. Transaction velocity is slow: the median days on market of 225 points to extended time-to-sale and moderate liquidity, which appears consistent with a neutral market temperature—buyers have time to negotiate while sellers face longer marketing tails.

  4. Broader trends show prices down year-over-year and rent trends also down, with moderate interest rate pressure; together these signals suggest a stabilizing but cautious environment where investors and owners should expect restrained upside and plan for slower re-listing timelines.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1510 E Cloud Rd, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
4 baths
3,214 sqft
$1,783,500
Mar 1, 2026
$555/sqft/sqft
188 days on market
37913 N 14th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Premium

Sold above market average

7 beds
5.33 baths
3,790 sqft
$1,725,000
Apr 1, 2026
$455/sqft/sqft
81 days on market
40010 N Candlewyck Ln, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
4 baths
2,984 sqft
$1,575,000
Apr 1, 2026
$528/sqft/sqft
393 days on market
40844 N Majesty Ct, Anthem, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
4 baths
2,648 sqft
$595,000
Mar 1, 2026
$225/sqft/sqft
177 days on market
39521 N Laurel Valley Ct, Anthem, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
3.67 baths
2,143 sqft
$595,000
Mar 1, 2026
$278/sqft/sqft
660 days on market
1032 E Carlise Rd, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2.67 baths
2,029 sqft
$594,500
Apr 1, 2026
$293/sqft/sqft
189 days on market
40512 N 5th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
1 baths
1,125 sqft
$360,000
Feb 1, 2026
$320/sqft/sqft
1873 W Owens Way, Anthem, AZ 85086
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2.33 baths
1,157 sqft
$359,000
Apr 1, 2026
$310/sqft/sqft
147 days on market

Phoenix, AZ 85086 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85086
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
164
Active Listings
5
Sold Properties
159

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$332,000
Median Sold Price
$348,000
Median Price per Sqft
$263/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,295

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.39%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
458
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Key Findings

  1. The primary indicator, median sold price of 348,000, represents the recent transaction-level market value and suggests that realized sale prices are above the median listing price of 332,000, indicating seller outcomes that can exceed current asking expectations; representative recent sale strength may support pricing confidence for comparable listings.

  2. The market shows a long sales cycle with median days on market at 458, which implies slower sales velocity and greater time for buyers to evaluate listings — sellers should expect extended marketing windows and consider targeted pricing or concessions to improve turn times.

  3. Price momentum is weakening: price year-over-year trend: down and rent year-over-year trend: down while market temperature remains neutral, so expect cautious buyer behavior and limited upside in near-term appreciation; down trends warrant conservative pricing strategies and contingency planning for sellers and investors.

  4. Liquidity context in the analyzed sample points to a relatively constrained active supply that, combined with interest rate pressure at moderate, appears to create a balanced-to-cooling environment rather than a rapid market; agents should emphasize staged marketing, flexible showings, and clear value messaging to convert moderately paced demand.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

34630 N 30th Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
3 baths
1,614 sqft
$380,000
Dec 1, 2025
$235/sqft/sqft
189 days on market
42424 N Gavilan Peak Pkwy Unit 1401, Anthem, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

- beds
3 baths
1,325 sqft
$355,000
Dec 1, 2025
$268/sqft/sqft
34807 N 30th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,126 sqft
$335,000
Apr 1, 2026
$298/sqft/sqft
1740 days on market
34750 N 30th Dr, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,099 sqft
$335,000
Nov 1, 2025
$305/sqft/sqft
399 days on market
34979 N 30th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,099 sqft
$330,000
Apr 1, 2026
$300/sqft/sqft
327 days on market
34983 N 30th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
3 baths
1,566 sqft
$318,000
Apr 1, 2026
$203/sqft/sqft
176 days on market
34615 N 30th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,036 sqft
$309,000
Feb 1, 2026
$298/sqft/sqft
3570 days on market
34715 N 30th Ave, Phoenix, AZ 85086
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,187 sqft
$296,000
Jan 1, 2026
$249/sqft/sqft
195 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$1,098/mo
85086 Avg Rent
85086 Cost to Own
Rent$2,295
Own$3,393

20% down, 6.5% rate, 0.5% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85086 Avg nightly rate
85086 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$154/night
Occupancy137 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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