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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$950K

The median listing price in Fairfax, VA ZIP 22033 is $950,000 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$2,580/mo

The median market rent in Fairfax, VA ZIP 22033 is $2,580/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
259 days

The median days on market in Fairfax, VA ZIP 22033 is 259 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
3.26%

At a median list price of $950,000 and a median rent of $2,580/month, the gross rental yield in Fairfax, VA ZIP 22033 is 3.26% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$1,641/mo STR · $2,580/mo LTR

In Fairfax, VA ZIP 22033, median Airbnb revenue is $1,641/month compared to median long-term rent of $2,580/month as of June 2026.

Fairfax, VA 22033 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 22033

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
89
Active Listings
30
Sold Properties
59

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$950,000
Median Sold Price
$853,000
Median Price per Sqft
$415/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,580

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.02%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
259
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
moderate

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Fairfax VA, ranging from 6.375% to 6.88%, reflect a market where property owners who originated loans earlier in 2026 may have locked in similar or slightly more favorable terms.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The most reliable market signal is the median sold price of $853,000, which reflects recent transaction activity and suggests that closing values are below asking expectations given the median listing price of $950,000; this gap may indicate pricing friction between seller expectations and realized sale prices (caution on ask vs. sold).
  2. The market shows slower sales velocity with a median days on market of 259, which may indicate elongated negotiation timelines and softer short-term liquidity despite overall transaction activity continuing at a measured pace.
  3. Price momentum is positive with the price year-over-year trend reported as up, while rental dynamics are weakening as the rent year-over-year trend is down; investors should weigh rising capital values against declining rental returns.
  4. Broader market context is neutral—market temperature is neutral and interest rate pressure is moderate; current mortgage terms reflect rates ranging from 6.375% to 6.88%, which suggests financing cost sensitivity and balanced buyer-seller negotiations rather than a strongly one-sided market.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

12390 Falkirk Dr, Fairfax, VA 22033
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds4 baths3,312 sqft
$1,700,000
Apr 1, 2026
$513/sqft/sqft
352 days on market
3623 Rocky Meadow Ct, Fairfax, VA 22033
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

4 beds4 baths3,668 sqft
$1,666,154
Apr 1, 2026
$454/sqft/sqft
3515 Broadrun Dr, Fairfax, VA 22033
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

5 beds4 baths3,475 sqft
$1,525,000
Mar 1, 2026
$439/sqft/sqft
98 days on market
4407 Midstone Ln, Fairfax, VA 22033
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths1,512 sqft
$807,000
Apr 1, 2026
$534/sqft/sqft
101 days on market
4001 Middle Ridge Dr, Fairfax, VA 22033
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths2,231 sqft
$800,000
Apr 1, 2026
$359/sqft/sqft
234 days on market
13128 Moss Ranch Ln, Fairfax, VA 22033
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths1,950 sqft
$795,000
Mar 1, 2026
$408/sqft/sqft
140 days on market
4118 Leclair Ct, Fairfax, VA 22033
Value

Below-market acquisition. Investor purchase with value-add potential through renovation.

3 beds3 baths1,906 sqft
$646,000
May 1, 2026
$339/sqft/sqft
13 days on market
13123 Pelfrey Ln, Fairfax, VA 22033
Value

Sold below market average

4 beds2 baths1,800 sqft
$480,000
Mar 1, 2026
$267/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$2,723/mo
22033 Avg Rent
22033 Cost to Own
Rent$2,580
Own$5,303

20% down, 6.53% rate, 1.0% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

22033 Avg nightly rate
22033 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$158/night
Occupancy177 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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