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San Antonio, TX 78254 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 78254
Report Date: March 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of March 2026, the real estate market in San Antonio, TX (ZIP: 78254) is characterized by a median sold price of $309,000, reflecting a stable market environment. The neighborhood has experienced a flat price trend year-over-year, indicating that while there is some stability, there is also a lack of upward momentum in pricing. This suggests that buyers may have more negotiating power in the current landscape, particularly given the elevated interest rate pressure affecting buyer enthusiasm and overall market dynamics.

The market is currently rebalancing, with median days on market extending to 148 days, which points to a slower sales velocity. Elevated inventory levels relative to sales activity suggest that there is excess supply in the market, contributing to a more neutral market temperature. This shift may indicate a transition toward a more balanced market, where buyers and sellers are negotiating more effectively amidst changing economic conditions.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
254
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
154

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$349,995
Median Sold Price
$309,000
Median Price per Sqft
$147/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,070
Rent Range
$1,630 - $2,530

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
2.10%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
148
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
flat
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the San Antonio TX 78254 market average around 6.38% as of late March 2026, which is 0.27% lower than the 6.65% average from March 2025.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median sold price of $309,000 suggests stable market conditions, with no significant price increases observed recently.

  2. A median days on market of 148 days indicates a slower sales velocity, reflecting a potential shift in buyer sentiment and negotiation dynamics.

  3. Elevated inventory levels relative to sales activity point to excess supply, which may provide buyers with more options and leverage in negotiations.

  4. The median listing price of $349,995 shows a notable gap compared to the sold price, indicating potential pricing friction as sellers adjust expectations to align with market realities.

  5. With median market rent at $2,070 and a down trend in rents year-over-year, rental performance may be softening, which could further influence buyer decisions in the housing market.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

14407 Apache Cp, San Antonio, TX 78254
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
3 baths
3,207 sqft
$616,720
Jan 1, 2026
$192/sqft/sqft
7623 Foss Aly, San Antonio, TX 78254
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
4 baths
3,704 sqft
$599,900
Jan 1, 2026
$162/sqft/sqft
245 days on market
9630 War Party Trl, San Antonio, TX 78254
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
4 baths
3,596 sqft
$599,000
Jan 1, 2026
$167/sqft/sqft
264 days on market
9106 Mare Country, San Antonio, TX 78254
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
2,169 sqft
$310,000
Mar 1, 2026
$143/sqft/sqft
60 days on market
10818 Butterfly Flt, San Antonio, TX 78254
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
3 baths
3,409 sqft
$310,000
Feb 1, 2026
$91/sqft/sqft
120 days on market
8525 Norias Wheel, San Antonio, TX 78254
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
3 baths
2,358 sqft
$308,000
Jan 1, 2026
$131/sqft/sqft
111 days on market
8748 Ironwood Hl, San Antonio, TX 78254
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

4 beds
2 baths
1,904 sqft
$1,900
Mar 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
195 days on market
12923 Irvin Path, San Antonio, TX 78254
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,596 sqft
$1,850
Feb 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
85 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 3/31/2026

GemHaus

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