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Prosper, TX 75078 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 75078
Report Date: April 2026
Market Temperature: COLD
Scope: Single-Family Residential (SFR) listings and comps only


Executive Overview

As of April 2026, the real estate market in Prosper, TX is characterized by a median sold price of $879,500, reflecting a notable decrease in market activity. The neighborhood has decreased 8% since 2022, indicating a shift in buyer sentiment and pricing dynamics. The median days on market stands at 216, suggesting slower sales velocity and a potential adjustment period for sellers as they align expectations with current market conditions.

Despite these trends, the local economy remains robust, supported by population growth and strong employment fundamentals. However, the market temperature is currently classified as cold, with elevated inventory levels contributing to a more competitive landscape for buyers. This environment may lead to further price adjustments as sellers respond to the excess supply relative to sales activity.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
199
Active Listings
100
Sold Properties
99

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$877,000
Median Sold Price
$879,500
Median Price per Sqft
$249/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,450

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.51%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
216
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Cold market indicates weak buyer demand relative to available inventory, typically characterized by declining or flat prices, extended days on market, and elevated inventory levels relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
cold
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Prosper, TX are averaging 6.38%, which is 0.29% higher than the 6.09% average from March 2025.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The median listing price is $877,000, indicating seller expectations may be out of sync with current market realities.

  2. With a median days on market of 216, properties are experiencing slower sales velocity, suggesting potential pricing friction.

  3. The median market rent is $3,450, which may influence buyer decisions as rental rates show a down trend year-over-year.

  4. Current interest rates are under elevated pressure, with 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaging 6.38%, impacting affordability for potential buyers.

  5. The market temperature remains cold, reflecting a broader trend of declining prices and increased inventory levels.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

4260 Tranquility Ln, Prosper, TX 75078
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

5 beds
5 baths
4,902 sqft
$2,190,000
Jan 1, 2026
$447/sqft/sqft
397 days on market
3725 Bridle Bnd, Prosper, TX 75078
Premium

Sold above market average

5 beds
5.5 baths
5,956 sqft
$1,986,199
Feb 1, 2026
$333/sqft/sqft
969 days on market
4710 Summerville Ln, Prosper, TX 75078
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
3 baths
4,812 sqft
$1,910,000
Mar 1, 2026
$397/sqft/sqft
35 days on market
4540 Mayfield Dr, Prosper, TX 75078
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
4 baths
3,320 sqft
$825,000
Feb 1, 2026
$248/sqft/sqft
159 days on market
820 Twin Buttes Dr, Prosper, TX 75078
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

6 beds
4 baths
4,325 sqft
$824,000
Feb 1, 2026
$191/sqft/sqft
1705 days on market
801 Rock Hill Rd, Prosper, TX 75078
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds
4 baths
3,662 sqft
$820,000
Jan 1, 2026
$224/sqft/sqft
306 days on market
2890 Quinton St, Prosper, TX 75078
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
3 baths
3,081 sqft
$760,000
Mar 1, 2026
$247/sqft/sqft
5 days on market
3652 Highland Bayou Dr, Prosper, TX 75078
Quick Flip

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,844 sqft
$2,400
Jan 1, 2026
$1/sqft/sqft
180 days on market

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 4/1/2026

GemHaus

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