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Jamaica, NY 11434 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 11434
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
44
Active Listings
16
Sold Properties
28

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$724,000
Median Sold Price
$675,500
Median Price per Sqft
$546/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$3,200

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.74%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
347
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Jamaica, NY are 6.3% compared to the 5.8% average seen earlier in 2026, indicating that property owners who secured loans during that period hold a favorable rate.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market indicator, median sold price of $675,500, signals firm transaction values in Jamaica, NY and suggests recent sales are supporting higher price levels; price appreciation appears consistent with broader area trends and should guide valuation assumptions for SFR and condo comparables.

  2. There is a notable spread between median listing price of $724,000 and the median sold price, which may indicate seller pricing expectations exceed realized transaction prices and suggests pricing friction that listing strategies should address to avoid extended time on market.

  3. The median days on market of 347 points to slower sales velocity in the sampled transactions and may indicate that marketing duration and offer timelines should be extended or pricing adjusted; agents and investors should plan for longer holding periods or concessional terms when underwriting deals.

  4. Macro and demand signals show elevated interest rate pressure (current 30-year fixed mortgage rates ~6.3% vs 5.8% earlier in 2026) alongside a rent year-over-year trend that is up and a market temperature characterized as neutral; this combination suggests investors may find rental demand supportive but should stress-test financing assumptions and timing due to higher borrowing costs.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

13332 Guy R Brewer Blvd, Jamaica, NY 11434
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2 baths
1,152 sqft
$1,399,000
Mar 1, 2026
$1,214/sqft/sqft
175 days on market
17016 143rd Rd, Jamaica, NY 11434
Premium

Sold above market average

- beds
- baths
1,125 sqft
$1,200,000
Feb 1, 2026
$1,067/sqft/sqft
11512 159th St, Jamaica, NY 11434
Premium

Sold above market average

6 beds
5 baths
1,216 sqft
$1,185,000
Feb 1, 2026
$975/sqft/sqft
196 days on market
17455 128th Ave, Jamaica, NY 11434
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,122 sqft
$640,000
Apr 1, 2026
$570/sqft/sqft
14540 175th St, Jamaica, NY 11434
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1 baths
874 sqft
$630,000
Apr 1, 2026
$721/sqft/sqft
868 days on market
16112 129th Ave, Jamaica, NY 11434
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,216 sqft
$620,000
Feb 1, 2026
$510/sqft/sqft
242 days on market
11833 152nd St, Jamaica, NY 11434
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
- baths
732 sqft
$280,000
Apr 1, 2026
$383/sqft/sqft
15302 Foch Blvd, Jamaica, NY 11434
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
2 baths
756 sqft
$250,000
Mar 1, 2026
$331/sqft/sqft
246 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$756/mo
11434 Avg Rent
11434 Cost to Own
Rent$3,200
Own$3,956

20% down, 6.3% rate, 0.7% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

11434 Avg nightly rate
11434 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$190/night
Occupancy177 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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