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Baldwin, FL 32234 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 32234
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
27
Active Listings
16
Sold Properties
11

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$267,500
Median Sold Price
$316,000
Median Price per Sqft
$160/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,800

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.13%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
411
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
flat
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Baldwin, FL are averaging 6.45%, which is 0.6% higher than the 5.85% average observed for typical loans in this area earlier in 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. 316,000 is the primary indicator of recent transaction value in the market as represented by the median sold price, signaling that realized home values are centered around this level and should be the focus for valuation and comparables (representative recent sale).

  2. There is a notable spread between the median listing price of 267,500 and the median sold price of 316,000, which may indicate pricing friction between seller expectations and recent transactions and suggests careful pricing strategy is required to align offers with actual sale outcomes.

  3. The market exhibits slow sales velocity as shown by a median days on market of 411, which appears to reflect extended time to contract and implies reduced liquidity and longer marketing periods — factor this into holding-cost calculations and time-to-close assumptions.

  4. Macro and demand signals show a neutral local temperature with downward price momentum: price year-over-year trend is down while market temperature is neutral; combined with interest rate pressure labeled elevated (current typical 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.45%), this suggests near-term headwinds for price growth and that buyers may gain negotiating leverage despite the neutral market classification.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

1095 Us Highway 90 W, Baldwin, FL 32234
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

3 beds
1.5 baths
1,636 sqft
$2,875,000
Apr 1, 2026
$1,757/sqft/sqft
618 Oliver St W, Baldwin, FL 32234
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,112 sqft
$1,249,600
Feb 1, 2026
$1,124/sqft/sqft
288 days on market
871 County Road 217, Maxville, FL 32234
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds
2 baths
2,400 sqft
$675,000
Apr 1, 2026
$281/sqft/sqft
557 days on market
15543 Bareback Dr, Jacksonville, FL 32234
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,709 sqft
$285,000
Feb 1, 2026
$167/sqft/sqft
4190 days on market
120 Main St S, Baldwin, FL 32234
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

5 beds
2 baths
2,100 sqft
$275,000
Mar 1, 2026
$131/sqft/sqft
411 days on market
15174 Bareback Dr, Jacksonville, FL 32234
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

3 beds
2 baths
1,548 sqft
$244,500
Mar 1, 2026
$158/sqft/sqft
2944 days on market
332 Mill St W, Baldwin, FL 32234
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,200 sqft
$135,000
Apr 1, 2026
$113/sqft/sqft
611 Us Highway 301 S, Baldwin, FL 32234
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,064 sqft
$99,000
Feb 1, 2026
$93/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$153/mo
32234 Avg Rent
32234 Cost to Own
Rent$1,800
Own$1,953

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.1% tax

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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