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Market Snapshot

Median listing price
$477K

The median listing price in Tempe, AZ ZIP 85282 is $477,450 as of June 2026.

Median rent
$1,599/mo

The median market rent in Tempe, AZ ZIP 85282 is $1,599/month as of June 2026.

Days on market
304 days

The median days on market in Tempe, AZ ZIP 85282 is 304 days as of June 2026. The market is currently neutral.

Gross rental yield
4.02%

At a median list price of $477,450 and a median rent of $1,599/month, the gross rental yield in Tempe, AZ ZIP 85282 is 4.02% as of June 2026.

STR vs LTR
$2,358/mo STR · $1,599/mo LTR

In Tempe, AZ ZIP 85282, median Airbnb revenue is $2,358/month compared to median long-term rent of $1,599/month as of June 2026.

Tempe, AZ 85282 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 85282

Report Date: June 2026

Market Temperature:
NEUTRAL

Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
196
Active Listings
68
Sold Properties
128

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$477,450
Median Sold Price
$438,000
Median Price per Sqft
$264/sqft

The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,599

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
0.43%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
304
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
flat
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tempe, AZ, average approximately 6.5% as of June 2026, which remains elevated compared to the sub-6% rates seen earlier in the year.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The primary market-value signal is the median sold price $438,000, which anchors recent transaction activity and, combined with the median listing price $477,450, suggests a pricing gap where seller expectations may exceed realized sale prices.
  2. The market shows slower sales velocity: the median days on market is 304, which, alongside a neutral market temperature, may indicate a balanced but cooling listing-to-sale cadence rather than rapid turnover.
  3. Sample analysis indicates relatively constrained active supply alongside moderate transaction volume, which may support price stability even as sellers adjust expectations and buyers exercise greater selectivity.
  4. Price and rent context: the median price per square foot is 264 and the median market rent is 1,599; with price year-over-year trending up, rent year-over-year trending flat, and elevated interest rate pressure—Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Tempe, AZ average approximately 6.5% as of June 2026—buyers face higher financing costs that could temper demand and extend listing times.

Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2153 E Golf Ave, Tempe, AZ 85282
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds2.67 baths2,447 sqft
$955,000
Apr 1, 2026
$390/sqft/sqft
2673 days on market
122 W Cottage Ln, Tempe, AZ 85282
Premium

Sold above market average

3 beds3.67 baths2,155 sqft
$774,900
Apr 1, 2026
$360/sqft/sqft
3485 days on market
3522 S Kachina Dr, Tempe, AZ 85282
Premium

Sold above market average

4 beds2.33 baths2,429 sqft
$765,000
Apr 1, 2026
$315/sqft/sqft
1440 days on market
3816 S Dorsey Ln, Tempe, AZ 85282
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths2,580 sqft
$490,000
Apr 1, 2026
$190/sqft/sqft
79 days on market
1115 W Santa Cruz Dr, Tempe, AZ 85282
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths1,551 sqft
$489,000
Mar 1, 2026
$315/sqft/sqft
123 days on market
1130 W Donner Dr, Tempe, AZ 85282
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

4 beds2 baths1,448 sqft
$486,000
May 1, 2026
$336/sqft/sqft
3639 days on market
1208 W Malibu Dr, Tempe, AZ 85282
Value

Sold below market average

- beds1 baths1,250 sqft
$215,000
May 1, 2026
$172/sqft/sqft
1670 E Verlea Dr, Tempe, AZ 85282
Value

Sold below market average

- beds2 baths1,488 sqft
$200,000
Mar 1, 2026
$134/sqft/sqft

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$908/mo
85282 Avg Rent
85282 Cost to Own
Rent$1,599
Own$2,507

20% down, 6.53% rate, 0.4% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

85282 Avg nightly rate
85282 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$142/night
Occupancy167 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 6/1/2026

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