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Austin, TX 78754 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 78754
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: COLD
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
180 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
87
Active Listings
84
Sold Properties
3

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$362,500
Median Sold Price
$365,000
Median Price per Sqft
$187/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$2,095

Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.63%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
183

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Cold market indicates weak buyer demand relative to available inventory, typically characterized by declining or flat prices, extended days on market, and elevated inventory levels relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
down
Market Temperature
cold
Rent YoY Trend
down
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Austin TX 78754 are 6.3% compared to 6.0% for typical loans originated earlier in 2026.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. median sold price: unavailable — A reliable neighborhood median sold price cannot be established from the analyzed sample because recent closed-transaction data are extremely limited; this limits precision when using transactional values as the primary market indicator and suggests caution when benchmarking pricing for appraisals or offers.

  2. median listing price: $362,500 — Asking prices are centered at this level, while the market shows pronounced selling time pressure with median days on market: 183, which together suggests pricing friction and slower sales velocity rather than rapid turnover.

  3. market temperature: cold and price year-over-year trend: down — These combined signals, along with interest rate pressure: elevated, indicate a cooling sales market; additionally, property rate comparison: Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Austin TX 78754 are 6.3% compared to 6.0% for typical loans originated earlier in 2026 underscores higher financing costs that may further depress buyer demand and price recovery down.

  4. median market rent: $2,095 and rent year-over-year trend: down — Rents are softening while the sales sample shows elevated inventory relative to sales activity, which may reduce near-term investor demand; monitor rental absorption closely before underwriting buy-and-hold strategies.


Notable Properties

The following 4 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

11514 Glen Falloch Ct, Austin, TX 78754
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
2.5 baths
2,820 sqft
$390,786
Jan 1, 2026
$139/sqft/sqft
6605 Adair Dr, Austin, TX 78754
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
2 baths
1,670 sqft
$368,600
Mar 1, 2026
$221/sqft/sqft
477 days on market
12001 Gaelic Dr, Austin, TX 78754
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,704 sqft
$203,462
Jan 1, 2026
$119/sqft/sqft
1477 days on market
12001 Gaelic Dr, Austin, TX 78754
Value

Sold below market average

- beds
2 baths
1,704 sqft
$203,462
Jan 1, 2026
$119/sqft/sqft
1477 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$315/mo
78754 Avg Rent
78754 Cost to Own
Rent$2,095
Own$2,410

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.6% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

78754 Avg nightly rate
78754 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$62/night
Occupancy92 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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