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Cincinnati, OH 45238 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 45238
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on single-family residential (SFR) properties. Metrics are calculated from recent sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
65
Active Listings
12
Sold Properties
53

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$269,950
Median Sold Price
$209,950
Median Price per Sqft
$155/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,005

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.53%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
214
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Note: A Sale-to-List Ratio near 100% can occur when properties sell at or near their final listing price after price adjustments during the listing period, even when initial listing prices differ significantly from sale prices.


Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 45238 area are averaging approximately 6.34%, reflecting a stable market environment for property owners compared to earlier 2026 benchmarks.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's representative recent sale level is the median sold price of 209,950, which anchors market value and suggests realized transaction prices are materially below asking levels in some cases; use sold prices for valuation.

  2. There is a notable gap between the median listing price of 269,950 and the median sold price of 209,950, which may indicate pricing friction or seller expectations exceeding recent transaction outcomes; caution on list-to-sale spread.

  3. Median days on market at 214 points to slower sales velocity and reduced liquidity relative to fast-turning markets, which may require longer marketing time or pricing concessions to achieve sale; slower transaction pace.

  4. Market context shows price year-over-year trend is up and rent year-over-year trend is up, but interest rate pressure is elevated, so affordability headwinds from rates may moderate buyer activity even as realized prices and rents rise.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

2773 Falconbridge Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
4 baths
2,547 sqft
$475,000
Feb 1, 2026
$186/sqft/sqft
4419 Carnation Ave, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

- beds
1 baths
2,700 sqft
$400,000
Mar 1, 2026
$148/sqft/sqft
5352 Laured Pl, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,456 sqft
$330,000
Mar 1, 2026
$227/sqft/sqft
85 days on market
5052 Grosse Pointe Ln, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1 baths
864 sqft
$187,775
Feb 1, 2026
$217/sqft/sqft
5314 Alvera Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
1 baths
1,536 sqft
$186,500
Mar 1, 2026
$121/sqft/sqft
265 Jupiter Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

3 beds
1 baths
1,165 sqft
$185,000
Mar 1, 2026
$159/sqft/sqft
2648 Gehrum Ln, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Value

Sold below market average

3 beds
1 baths
1,167 sqft
$68,500
Mar 1, 2026
$59/sqft/sqft
240 Ihle Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
996 sqft
$65,000
Mar 1, 2026
$65/sqft/sqft

Cincinnati, OH 45238 Real Estate Market Report

ZIP Code: 45238
Report Date: May 2026
Market Temperature: NEUTRAL
Scope: This ZIP code analysis focuses on condominium properties. Metrics are calculated from recent condo sales and active listings within the past 90 days.


Market Overview

This analysis is based on a sample of properties from this ZIP code (up to 200 sold properties and up to 100 active properties). The median prices below are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.

Analysis Window
90 Days
Total Properties Analyzed
53
Active Listings
0
Sold Properties
53

Market Metrics

Median Listing Price
$0
Median Sold Price
$209,900
Median Price per Sqft
$167/sqft

Note: The property counts shown above represent only the properties analyzed in this report sample, not the total inventory for this ZIP code. Median prices are calculated from all available properties in the sample, while trend analysis uses properties from the selected analysis window.


Rental Market

Median Market Rent
$1,000

Note: The relationship between property values and rental rates reflects different market dynamics. Higher-priced properties may have lower rental yields due to factors such as luxury market positioning, owner-occupancy preferences, or long-term appreciation strategies rather than immediate rental income maximization.


Property Taxes

Property Tax Rate
1.30%

Liquidity & Velocity

Median Days on Market
258
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%

Market Trends & Context

Understanding Market Temperature

A Neutral market indicates balanced conditions where neither buyers nor sellers have a strong advantage, typically characterized by flat price trends, extended but stable days on market, and moderate inventory relative to sales.

Price YoY Trend
up
Market Temperature
neutral
Rent YoY Trend
up
Interest Rate Pressure
elevated

Current Mortgage Rate Context

Market-level mortgage rate comparison for this area:

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the 45238 area are averaging approximately 6.34%, reflecting a stable market environment for property owners compared to earlier 2026 benchmarks.

Note: Interest rate comparisons provide market context. The existing "Interest Rate Pressure" metric above shows the qualitative market impact.


Key Findings

  1. The neighborhood's median sold price is 209,900, which serves as the primary indicator of recent market value and, together with the price year-over-year trend being up, points to moderate appreciation pressure in completed transactions.

  2. The median days on market is 258, which suggests slower sales velocity and potential pricing friction; this longer time-to-sale may indicate buyers are taking more time to transact despite upward price trends.

  3. The median price per square foot is 167 while the median market rent is 1,000, and the rent year-over-year trend is up; this combination suggests improving rental market fundamentals that may support investor interest without guaranteeing immediate resale liquidity.

  4. Interest rate conditions remain a headwind: interest rate pressure is elevated and current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging approximately 6.34%, which may constrain affordability and moderate buyer demand even as the market temperature is described as neutral.


Notable Properties

The following 8 properties represent notable market examples and recent transactions that illustrate key market dynamics. These are illustrative examples selected for their significance (top sales, market benchmarks, quick sales) and are not the basis for the statistical calculations shown above.

Recent Transactions

5548 Timber Way Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Top Sale

Highest sale in the past 90 days. Fully renovated with modern finishes and premium lot positioning.

4 beds
3 baths
1,498 sqft
$320,000
Feb 1, 2026
$214/sqft/sqft
5010 Garden Grove Ln, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Premium

Sold above market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,303 sqft
$307,000
Nov 1, 2025
$236/sqft/sqft
295 days on market
5256 Glen Creek Dr, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Premium

Sold above market average

1 beds
3 baths
1,253 sqft
$255,000
Mar 1, 2026
$204/sqft/sqft
611 Covedale Ave Apt 2, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,265 sqft
$190,000
Dec 1, 2025
$150/sqft/sqft
170 Palisades Pt Apt 1, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Representative market sale establishing baseline for properties in the core neighborhood.

2 beds
2 baths
1,254 sqft
$189,900
Nov 1, 2025
$151/sqft/sqft
5660 Rapid Run Rd # 19, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Market Benchmark

Sold at market average

2 beds
1 baths
968 sqft
$170,000
Nov 1, 2025
$176/sqft/sqft
198 days on market
1235 Parkside Ct, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
2 baths
1,018 sqft
$135,000
Nov 1, 2025
$133/sqft/sqft
4274 Paul Rd Apt 23, Cincinnati, OH 45238
Value

Sold below market average

2 beds
1 baths
968 sqft
$114,000
Nov 1, 2025
$118/sqft/sqft
224 days on market

Investment Analysis

Compare rental income potential against ownership costs and benchmark against market averages.

Rent vs Cost to Own

Monthly rental income vs estimated ownership cost

-$364/mo
45238 Avg Rent
45238 Cost to Own
Rent$1,005
Own$1,369

20% down, 6.3% rate, 1.5% tax

Short-Term Rental

Avg nightly rate and occupancy for this ZIP

45238 Avg nightly rate
45238 Avg occupancy (days/year)
Nightly rate$104/night
Occupancy100 of 365 days

Data Sources

Real estate market data & public records, and GemHaus® proprietary models.

Report generated: 5/1/2026

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